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<br />. , <br /> <br />~ 21.03[2] <br /> <br />MINERAL LAW INSTITUTE <br /> <br />21-22 <br /> <br />fines of its shrunken apportionment.81 <br /> <br />The Upper Basin has not to date, however, experienced im- <br />mediate hardships from this limit, for the reason that it has <br />yet to try to exploit its full 7.5 m.a.f. apportionment. Devel- <br />opment of water uses in the Upper Basin has been "unex- <br />pectedly slow." 82 The Bureau of Reclamation estimated Up- <br />per Basin consumptive uses in 1981 at 3.840 m.aJ., including <br />686,000 acre-feet evaporative losses, and 713,000 acre-feet of <br />transbas.in diversions in Colorado, New Mexico, and Utah.83 <br /> <br />However, the projected Upper Basin limits may have al- <br />ready created somewhat subtle repercussions and they are <br />virtually certain to produce direct constraints in the future. <br />As the Westwide Study Report on Critical Water Problems <br />Facing the Eleven Western States cautioned: <br /> <br />Although the water supply of the river is adequate to meet <br />quantitative needs today and in the years immediately <br />ahead, this does not mean that there are no current prob- <br />lems related to water shortage. To the contrary there are <br />and they are severe. If the Upper Basin States are to de- <br />velop their resources at a rate commensurate with their <br />expressed aspirations it is a certainty that shortages will <br />develop within a time frame that directly affects decisions <br />which need to be made today. Most resource development <br />undertakings, be they for agriculture, industry, or other <br />purposes, require an assured water supply for at least 40 <br />years to justify making initial investments. The fact that <br />there is no actual shortage of water today nor will there be <br />in the immediate future is of little comfort to those inter- <br />ests whose future depends upon an assured water supply <br />for the next 40-50 years.84 <br /> <br />The Interior Department's Report on Water for Energy in <br />the Upper Colorado 'River Basin projected that before the <br />year 2000, a 5.8 m.a.f. per annum limit would curtail some <br /> <br />81 lei at 116. <br /> <br />82 Environmental Defense Fund. v. Costle, 657 F.2d 275, 293 (D.C. Cir. 1981). <br />8J U.S. Department of Interior, Eleventh Annual Report, Operation of the Colo. <br />rado River Basin 1981 at 24 (1982), <br />84 Wests ide Stu.dy Report, supra note 3, at 153. <br />