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<br />e <br /> <br />e <br /> <br />e <br /> <br />Water Development Projection Analysis - An estimated "Development Projection" for each of <br />the major basins and subbasins of the Colorado River Basin within Colorado will be developed <br />by the "Water Development Committee" with the assistance of Board staff. The Board will use <br />these "Development Projections" only as a guideline to help assure that protection of fish <br />recovery instream flows will not deprive the people of the State of Colorado of the beneficial use <br />of those waters available by law and Interstate Compacts. The following factors will be <br />considered during development of the projections: <br /> <br />o the best available hydrologic and consumptive use data <br />o Colorado River and Upper Colorado River Basin Compacts <br />o generous long-term projections of future water development <br />o other information <br /> <br />On a statewide basis, the "Development Projection" is basically the amount of water available for <br />future development in Colorado under the Colorado River and the Upper Colorado River Basin <br />compacts. On a basinwide basis, it is the amount of water expected to be developed within each <br />basin based on full development of Colorado's compact apportionment. To maintain flexibility, <br />the sum of the "Development Projections" for each basin may exceed the amount of water that <br />is available on a state-wide basis under the compacts. This estimation process will include the <br />following major activities: <br /> <br />1) Estimate Colorado's total apportionment of Colorado River water under different defined <br />interpretations of the Colorado River and the Upper Colorado River Basin compacts, <br /> <br />2) Estimate the present level of consumptive use of Colorado River water, and <br /> <br />3) Estimate the amount of water remaining to be developed within each subbasin based on <br />several possible methods of distribution. Distribution methods to consider include: (I) <br />basinwide priority system, (2) percentage of the total natural flow originating in a given <br />basin, and (3) any negotiated distribution that can be agreed on. <br /> <br />The following tasks describe the work to be done during this estimation process. <br /> <br />Task I Colorado Apportionment Analysis - This task involves the analysis of Colorado's Colorado <br />River Compact apportionment under different assumptions. Since the Law of the River does not <br />address the issue of monthly apportionment, the analysis will be done on a annual basis. This <br />analysis is similar to the Bureau of Reclamation's "Hydrologic Determinations" required by P.L. <br />87-483, except that different assumptions will be used. These assumptions are: <br /> <br />A. <br />B. <br /> <br />Various assumptions of water supply available to the Upper and Lower Basins; <br />The U.S. Treaty obligation to Mexico will be evaluated under two assumptions: <br /> <br />8 <br /> <br />cow 0379 J <br />