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<br />Anticipated Cropping Systems <br /> <br />Climatic conditions, topography, and distance to central markets are <br />limiting factors to the kinds of crops that can be commercially produced <br />in the project area. Present irrigated land use consists of 53 percent of <br />the cropland in alfalfa, clover and pasture, 30 percent in small grains, 4 <br />percent in com for silage and 13 percent, idle and fallow. Development of <br />the project is not expected to affect the kinds of crops produced. No in- <br />tensive cash crops are expected to be grown on the Florida project on a <br />commercial scale. <br /> <br />Development of the project is expected to increase acreage of forage crops <br />and reduce acreage of grain crops (table 13). A 7-year crop rotation, <br />including 5 years of alfalfa or rotation pasture, and 2 years of grain and <br />com for silage, is assumed on lands in evaluation areas A, B, and D. <br />Evaluation area C is assumed to be limited to a rotation of 5 years of <br />alfalfa or rotation pasture and 2 years of grain. Small grain is grown <br />alone the first year for weed control purposes and is used as a nurse crop <br />in seedings of alfalfa or rotation pasture the second year. <br /> <br />Direct Agricultural Benefits <br /> <br />A primary objective of the economic analysis is to estimate direct agri- <br />cultural benefits. These benefits are defined as the value of crop and <br />pasture production expected with project development in excess of produc- <br />tion anticipated without the project, less the value of additional farm <br />inputs or associated costs required. The concepts and assumptions on the <br />specific composition and value of nonproJect resources or associated costs, <br />as used in this report, are outlined below. <br /> <br />A basic assumption is that the national economy will operate at essentially <br />full employment for the period of analysis. Based on this general assump- <br />tion, alternative employment opportunities would be expected in the national <br />economy for resources used in the development and operation of irrigated <br />farms, including the labor and management skills of farm operators. Also, <br />the projected levels of farm prices received and paid are higher than they <br />would be with a significant amount of unemployment. <br /> <br />Estimates of direct agricultural benefits are based upon crop-production <br />1:l1dgets that account for the quanti ty and value of crop and pasture production <br />expected after full development of project farms, and the cost that will be <br />incurred on the project lands in achieving the level of production expected. <br />Separate estimates have been made for each evaluation area and a total compu- <br />tation for the project area as a whole. <br /> <br />The cropping patterns assumed in the benefit analysis are the same as used <br />in the analysis of water requirements and prospective farm incomes. <br /> <br />Farms with an adequate vater supply viII require considerably more labor, <br />including operator and family labor, than farms with partial water supplies. <br />In the with project budgets, the additional operator and family labor re- <br />quired is considered as an expense in deriving benefits. <br /> <br />- 26 - <br />