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WSP02492
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Last modified
1/26/2010 12:37:14 PM
Creation date
10/11/2006 11:08:35 PM
Metadata
Fields
Template:
Water Supply Protection
File Number
8220.100.50
Description
CRSP
Basin
Colorado Mainstem
Date
3/1/1988
Author
WAPA
Title
Replacement Resources Processes - Final Methods Report - Executive Summary
Water Supply Pro - Doc Type
Publication
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<br /> <br />Resource Evaluation <br /> <br />The resource evaluation methodol- <br />ogy designed to acquire the <br />replacement resources examines <br />the costs of resource replacement alterna- <br />tives on both a stand-alone basis and an <br />integrated basis, The stand-alone analy- <br />sis, which consists of a levelized-cost <br />screening tool, uses the costs in the <br />supplier's proposal to determine net costs. <br /> <br />In the context of Western's resource <br />evaluations, the stand-alone analysis using <br />resource screening serves two purposes. <br />First, it provides a straightforward calcula- <br />tion of the financial cost of each proposal <br />to Western, through use of a levelized cost <br />analysis. Second, in the case of longer- <br />term acquisitions, it limits the number of <br />proposals to be evaluated in detail to a <br />manageable number. <br /> <br /> <br />Integrated analysis examines the <br />integration of the replacement resource <br />into the interconnected power system. By <br />including the interaction of the major <br />regional utility systef1ls, Western will be <br />able to accurately simulate operation of <br />the replacement resource as it would <br />actually be used, This approach simulates <br />the true operation of the interconnected <br />power system, and may result in spot <br />market energy purchases displacing <br />replacement resource energy at certain <br />times, and replacement resource energy <br />being sold on the spot market at other <br />times, which can significantly affect the <br />true cost of a replaceJUent resource. <br />Western will also use transmission power <br />flow analysis in cases where replacement <br />resource alternatives are identified as <br />significantly affecting key transmission <br />paths. <br /> <br />In general, short-term seasonal <br />acquisitions may require only a stand- <br /> <br />alone screening evaluation, while the full <br />screening plus an detailed integrated <br />analysis and evaluation would likely be <br />used for long-term replacement resource <br />evaluations. The integrated analysis will <br />yield the most accurate and reliable <br />results. This will be increasingly important <br />to evaluate longer-term purchases. <br /> <br />In some cases, proposals may differ <br />significantly in qualitative (non-cost- <br />related) characteristics. Such differences <br />can, in some cases, be equalized by <br />converting them to qualifications for <br />proposals (e,g." performance bond or <br />acceptable financial guarantee to cover <br />liquidated damages), or the differences <br />will be described and used to distinguish <br />among competing proposals that have a <br />similar levelized, per-unit cost. Costs <br />within some tolerance (e.g., 5 percent) of <br />the lowest cost proposal may be deter- <br />mined to be equivalent for analytical <br />purposes. <br /> <br />Financial risks will be assumed by <br />those customers purchasing replacement <br />power, as Western cannot guarantee the <br />availability of replacement power or its <br />price. Although the customers purchasing <br />replacement power will assume the <br />financial risks, Western is in the best <br />position to describe the relative risks <br />associated with each potential replace- <br />ment resource as it prepares its evalua- <br />tions. <br /> <br />Proof -of-Concept Analysis <br /> <br />The methods for identifYing, evaluat- <br />ing, and acqniring power resources to <br />replace the useable generating capability <br />lost at Glen Canyon Dam needed to be <br />tested under circumstances similar to <br />those Western may actually encounter <br /> <br /> <br />Ii <br />
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