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<br />M <br />OJ <br />o::t' <br /> <br />SUMMARY <br /> <br />This report describes a research project aimed at forecasting certain <br /> <br />demographic and economic aspects of the. City of Craig and Moffat County for <br /> <br />two alternative futures. The first is a continuation of the status quo in <br /> <br />which trends and events that are a continuation of the present are examined. <br /> <br />The second is one in which the proposed Yampa Project power plant is super- <br /> <br />imposed upon the present situation. These forecasts were then translated <br /> <br />into probable additional costs and revenues resulting from the construction <br /> <br />and operation of the power plant. <br /> <br />Projections for Craig and Moffat County <br /> <br />Without the construction of the Craig power plant, Moffat County appears <br /> <br />to be heading for a period of moderate growth, with population increasing by <br /> <br />more than 25 percent from an estimated 6,757 in January, 1973 to 8,463 in <br /> <br />December, 1982. Employment is projected to increase by more than 33 percent <br /> <br />at the same time from 2,677 to 3,586. Water and sewage requirements increase <br /> <br />proportionately with the population. The total school enrollment for the <br /> <br />county is projected to decline from 1,773 in January, 1973 to 1,751 in June, <br /> <br />1976 and then climb to 1,872 in December, 1982. But if the power plant is <br /> <br />built, the projections show a population growth from 6,757 in January, 1973 <br /> <br />to 13,298 in March, 1977 at the peak of construction followed by a decline <br /> <br />to 11,702 in March, 1979 and then a gradual rise to 12,922 in December, 1982 <br /> <br />for an overall growth during the period of more than 90 percent. The growth <br /> <br />in total employment parallels the expansion in the population, increasing <br /> <br />from 2,677 in January, 1973 to 6,332 in March, 1977, then declining to 5,213 <br /> <br />in March, 1979 and finally rising to 5,715 in December, 1982 for a total <br /> <br />growth of over 110 percent. Similarly, school enrollment rises from 1,773 <br /> <br />11 <br />