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<br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br /> <br />REGIONAL ECONOMY WITHOUT PROJECT <br />/1~ df.,(~:; //,,~ :Y~- <br />This means that water from storage or some measure to reduce demand is required to <br />satisfy peak day demands, Consideration has been given in the past for increasing this <br />application from 2,500 acre-feet to the required water supply for a population of 40,000 <br />(Harris), <br /> <br />t <br />o <br /> <br />Gronning has recently conducted a water supply study for the city and concluded, of the <br />ten major alternatives (Table 3.4) for supplying long-term water supplies to the city, the ALP <br />alternative is the most cost-effective. Therefore, Gronning has recommended that the city <br />continue to proceed with participation in ALP and implement various measures to increase <br />supplies during the interim while ALP is under construction. These interim measures <br />include short-term system improvements, an inverted rate schedule, a conservation program, <br />and exploratory negotiations with Public Service Company of Colorado to obtain a dry-year <br />lease. <br /> <br />The Gronning report did not directly address the scenario of not developing ALP, but did <br />include an evaluation of nine alternatives to ALP for providing long-term water supplies <br />to the city. The main features of the long-term alternatives and the annual life cycle costs, <br />which were determined to be more costly than ALP, to serve a population of 30,000 are <br />listed in Table 3.4. <br /> <br />As shown in Table 3.4, ALP 'mder Alternative 6(a) is the least cost alternative. It could be <br />considered that the increased cost for the next least cost alternative would be the economic <br />impact on the city in terms of developing a comparable water supply. This increased cost <br />appears to be on the order of $250,000 to $300,000 per year for a population of 30,000. The <br />question then arises if this incremental cost should be added as an additional benefit of ALP <br />in determining a regional benefit-cost ratio. The answer to this question requires a thorough <br />review of the Gronning cost estimates and the Reclamation benefits assigned to the city's <br />M&I water supply. If Reclamation determined the assigned benefit as the cost for the next <br />least cost alternative, then this incremental cost should already be accounted for in the <br />assigned benefit. There are likely to be some differences between the Reclamation and <br />Gronning estimates of the cost for the next least cost alternative. It appears that this <br />incremental cost difference should probably not be added to the regional economic analysis. <br /> <br />3-12 <br />