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<br /> <br />00071)1 <br /> <br />is insufficient waler surplus to the apportion- <br />ments. Together. these commitments totaled 16.5 <br />million acre.feet. a not unrealistic demand on <br />Upper Basin water yield based on records prior to <br />1922. Since then. however. undepleted flow at lee <br />Ferry has averaged less than 14 million acre-feel, <br />\',:hich many believe is about all that can be ex- <br />pected ove; the long run. Long-term streamflow <br />records. reconstructed from tree rings by Stockton <br />and Jacoby (1976). indicate that for the past 450 <br />years, flow al Lee Ferry has averaged 13.5 million <br />acre-feet. Their analysis showed that only one <br />other period. the early 1600's, was as wel as the <br />first 30 years of this centurv. <br />While present mainstwam waler lIses of about 12 <br />million acre. feet per year in both Upper and Lower <br />Basins ilre below the long-term trend in average <br />annual water supply, Ihis supply is less than the <br />apportionments and the ~fexican delivery obliga- <br />tion. Future water needs for development of the <br />Basin's energy resources ilnd other uses have been <br />forecast 10 exceed supplies by aboul the year 2000.5 <br />Water yield within Lower Basin watersheds is <br />about 3.] million acre-feet per year, much ofwhich <br />is used in Arizona. Additional large amounts of <br />water are pumped from ground water 10 supply <br />agriculture and municipal-industrial needs. <br />Ground water overdraft in the Lower Basin aver- <br />ages nearly 2.5 million acre-feet per year. To sus- <br />tain the current use rate will require continued <br />overdraft of ground water, even with complelion of <br />the Central Arizona Project. unless the supply can <br />be augmented. <br /> <br />"USDI. Water frx EIIergy Management Team Report on waler <br />for energy m the Upper Ct:JkNado River Basm 1974 71 P <br /> <br /> 28 <br /> 26 <br /> 24 <br /> 22 <br />;; 20 <br />~ 18 <br />- <br />~ 16 <br />- <br />u 14 <br />0 <br />0 12 <br />g 10 <br />~ 8 <br /> 6 <br /> 4 <br /> 2 <br /> 0 <br /> 19-%-~ ~O <br /> <br />{\>" <br />o <br /> <br /><9 {2 <br />~ "0 <br />Water year <br /> <br />{\> <br />~ <br /> <br />{\>6: <br />o <br /> <br />{\>" <br />o <br /> <br />Increasing Waler Yield <br />by ~Ianagement of Vegetation and Snow <br /> <br />Of lhea\'erage 190million acre-feet (14.2 inches) <br />of rain and snow that fall each vear on the C'.olorado <br />River Basin, more than 90% of it evaporates. With <br />such large amounts of water being returned to the <br />atmosphere, e\'en a slight reduction in this loss <br />would leave substantiallv more water for <br />streamflow. If. for example" evapotranspiration <br />over the entire C..olorado River Basin could be re- <br />duced by only 1%, the surface water supply would <br />increase on the average bv 1.75 million acre-feet <br />annually. However. the opportunity to signifi. <br />cantly reduce evapotranspiration b}' management <br />of vegetation and sno\\>' is limited to certain types of <br />cover. Only about 16% (26 million acres) of the <br />basin is vegetated well enough or has sufficient <br />snO\..' to be suitable for water yield improvement <br />measures. <br />Vegetation is controlled largely by climate. <br />Areas of low rainfall dominate th(! I.ower Basin, <br />where vegetation is sparse and drought resistant. <br />Precipitation generally increases with elevation <br />and latitudc, until at mid to upper elevations, <br />brush, pinyon.juniper, and associated types are <br />replaced by forests. Eventually, the forests give <br />way to the cold. harsh climate of the alpine zone, <br />where only low-grnwing forms of vegetation sur- <br />vivc. Precipitation varies from less than 5 inches <br />annually in the deserts to more than 50 inches in <br />the wettest mountain areas. Potential evapotrans. <br />piration tends to be inVCrSI!ly related to precipita- <br />tion, because energy for evaporation declines with <br />increasing elevation, latitude, and cloudiness. <br /> <br />Progressive <br />IO-year average <br /> <br />Average <br />11896-1978) <br /> <br />FIgure 2.-Annual undlpleted (virgin) !lows ot the Colorado River II lee Ferry. Arizona, <br />1896-1918. <br /> <br />4 <br />