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<br />00132!. <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />June 4. 2002 Preliminarv Forecast of Colorado River Flow into <br />Lake Powell (1) (Million Acre-feet) <br /> <br />USBR and National Weather Service <br />April-Julv Water Year 2002 <br /> <br />Change From Last <br />Month's Forecast <br />April-Julv Wat Yr 2002 <br /> <br />Maximum (2) <br /> <br />3.450 <br /> <br />Mean <br /> <br />1.450 * <br />-0.550 <br /> <br />Minimum (2) <br /> <br />5.871 <br /> <br />-1.361 <br /> <br />-1_250 <br /> <br />3.471 .* <br /> <br />-1.061 <br /> <br />-0.950 <br />-0.750 <br /> <br />1_071 <br /> <br />-0.861 <br /> <br />* This month's A-J forecast is 18 % of the 30-year A-J average shown below. <br />** This month's WY forecast is 29 % of the 30-year W-Y average shown below. <br /> <br />Comparison with past records <br />of Colorado River <br />inflow into Lake Powell <br />(at Lee Ferry prior to 1962) <br /> <br />Long-Time Average (1922-2001) <br />30-yr. Average (1961-90) <br />10-yr. Average (1992-2001) <br />Max. of Record <br /> <br />Min. of Record <br /> <br />Last Year (2001) <br /> <br />April-Julv Flow <br /> <br />Water Year Flow <br /> <br />8.018 <br />7_735 <br />7_672 <br />15.404 (1984) <br />1.286 (1977) <br />4.301 <br /> <br />11_869 <br />11.724 <br />11.739 <br />21.873 (1984) <br />3.663 (1977) <br />6.955 <br /> <br />(1) Under conditions of no other Upper Basin reservoirs. <br /> <br />(2) USBR and NWS forecasts indicate the probability of 19 chances out of <br />20 that the actual flow will not exceed the maximum value, and will not be <br />less than the minimum value. <br /> <br />-5- <br />