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<br />I. <br />I' <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br /> <br />. .- <br /> <br />1997 DETERMINATIONS <br /> <br />The AOP provides guidance regarding reservoir storage and release conditions during the <br />upcoming year, based upon Congressionally mandated storage, release, and delivery criteria <br />and detenninations. After meeting these requirements, specific reservoir releases may be <br />modified as forecast inflows change in response to climatic variability and to provide <br />additional benefits to the projects' multiple purposes. <br /> <br />Upper Basin Reservoirs <br /> <br />The Operating Criteria provide that the annual plan of operation shall include a <br />detennination of the quantity of water considered necessary to be in Upper Basin storage at <br />the end of the water year. Taking into consideration all relevant factors required by the <br />Operating Criteria, it has been detennined that the active storage in Upper Basin reservoirs <br />forecast for September 30, 1997 exceeds the storage required under Section 602(a) of the <br />Colorado River Basin Project Act under any reasonable range of assumptions which might <br />be applied. Therefore, "602(a) Storage" is not the criterion controlling the release of water <br />from Glen Canyon Dam during water year 1997. <br /> <br />Section 602(a)(3) of the Colorado River Basin Project Act provides for the storage of <br />Colorado River water in Upper Basin reservoirs that the Secretary of the Interiorfinds <br />neceosary to assure deliveries to comply with Articles ill( c) and ill( d) of the 1922 Colorado <br />River Compact, without impainnent to the annual consumptive use in the Upper Basin. The <br />Secretary is required to make this detennination after consultation with the Upper Colorado <br />River Commission and representatives from the three Lower Division States, and after taking <br />into consideration all relevant factors including, historic stream flows, the most critical <br />period of record, the probabilities of water supply, and estimated future depletions. Water <br />not required to be so stored will be released from Lake PoweD: <br /> <br />to the extent it can be reasonably applied in the States of the Lower Division to the <br />uses specified in Article ill( e) of the 1922 Colorado River Compact, but these <br />releases will not be made when the active storage in Lake PoweD is less than the <br />active storage in Lake Mead, . . <br /> <br />to maintain, as nearly as practicable, active storage in Lake Mead equal to the active <br />storage in Lake PoweD, and <br /> <br />to avoid anticipated spills from Lake PoweD. <br /> <br />Storage equalization and/or spill avoidance criterion in accordance with Article ll(3) of the <br />Operating Criteria will control the releases from Glen Canyon Dam during water year 1997 <br />unless the minimum objective release criterion in Article ll(2) is controDing. Under the most <br />probable inflow scenario Glen Canyon Dam will release 12,543 MCM (10.169 MAF). <br /> <br />14 <br />