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<br />10 <br /> <br />Because the need in Kansas is to determine the dependable supply of <br />streamflow, base flow in this report includes the ground-water flow com- <br />ponent and the delayed portion of interflow. Base flow, as defined herein, <br />means that flow of a stream that would exist if all the direct runoff were <br />extracted and precipitation continued to supply the usual accretions of flow <br />via the ground. Excluded by this definition is the early storm interflow or <br />temporary bank storage that infiltrates into the channel banks during a <br />flood only to seep back into the stream shortly thereafter. <br /> <br />Uses of base-flow data.--The most important use of base-flow data is <br />in forecasting total streamflow. Such forecasts consist of either an esti- <br />mate of a future discharge for operational problems or the probability of <br />occurrence of some given discharge for design problems. Base-flow data <br />are used in an analysis instead of total-flow data if upstream use of direct <br />runoff is anticipated. Examples of the two types of problems are given in <br />the following sections. <br /> <br />Typical operational problems include those of cities that obtain their <br />water supplies from streams. Here a knowledge of the expected flow would <br />provide the basis for determining whether or not supplemental supplies <br />might be needed. In areas where industrial and municipal wastes are dis- <br />charged into streams, low stream discharge could cause a serious pollu- <br />tion problem. Here again, a knowledge of future flow would aid in deciding <br />if temporary storage of the wastes is desirable. In some areas much of <br />the irrigation water comes directly from streams with little or no storage. <br />Estimates of expected flows could be used by administrators of water laws <br />to predict when flows would not be sufficient to satisfy the demands of ap- <br />propriators. Long-range forecasts of expected flows could be utilized in <br />the planning of acreage to be irrigated. In each case, estimated base flow <br />would be used in the analysis if direct runoff was extracted upstream, with <br />the base flow being modified, if necessary, by the direct runoff expected. <br /> <br />Estimates of the probability of occurrence of some specific discharge <br />or the probability of failure to maintain some given discharge are used in <br />the design of most water projects. The estimating of the probability of <br />occurrence of a specific discharge is closely tied to and usually done in <br />conjunction with the forecasting of future discharge. The probability of <br />failure of a stream to maintain sufficient flow for the water-supply needs <br />of a city must be considered when selecting one source of water over an- <br />other. This same probability would be used in the design of the supplysys- <br />tem and considered in locating an industrial site. The probability of fail- <br />ure to maintain sufficient flow would be a factor in the design of treatment <br />plants for the disposal of sewage and industrial wastes. Knowledge of the <br />probabilities of various low flows would aid in determining if a stream is <br />