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<br />1\.),
<br />en
<br />en
<br />f\)
<br />
<br />It has long been recognized that the
<br />consumption of soap and detergents would be
<br />greater in areas of hard water. Other costs
<br />resulting from water hardness include treatment
<br />for softening, wear on clothing, reduced life of
<br />cooking utensils, and scaling of water heaters. As
<br />can be seen in table 9, not all these areas were
<br />analyzed in the present study. However, where
<br />applicable, estimates from this study will be used
<br />to update some of the previous estimates.
<br />
<br />Household damages due to salinity have been
<br />estimated by a number of researchers. The
<br />Orange County and the Black and Veatch studies
<br />are the most complete of those available (see
<br />appendix 1 of the Andersen and Kleinman
<br />report)." Estimates from the present study along
<br />with estimates from the two studies mentioned
<br />above and other available information contained
<br />in various salinity reports have been used to
<br />create table 10. Not all household items that
<br />might be affected by salinity in other reports
<br />were used because sufficient evidence was
<br />lacking that a real detrimental effect occurs. The
<br />individual items used were those judged to be
<br />important and relevant to the average household
<br />in the Lower Colorado River area. The "best
<br />estimates" have been tabulated for each of the
<br />three areas, resulting in a total cost per milligram
<br />per liter of $0.1087 for the Lower Main Stem,
<br />$0.1073 for the CAP service area, and $0.1583
<br />for the MWD s~rvice area.
<br />
<br />In order to calculate the estimated damages for
<br />individual areas and for the entire Lower
<br />Colorado River Basin, an estimate is needed of
<br />the average annual number of households
<br />affected by the quality of the Colorado River.
<br />Certain assumptions and procedures were
<br />developed for each of the three areas.
<br />
<br />Growth projections of towns and cities along the
<br />Lower Main St~m were derived from the most
<br />recent two decades of population increases as
<br />noted in the respective U.S. Census of
<br />Population. In Las Vegas for example, where
<br />recent population projections were available,
<br />these estimates were used instead of the Census.
<br />The projections of growth were discounted to
<br />the present (1976) using 6-3/8 percent and put
<br />on an annual basis over a 50-year period,
<br />resulting in 250,100 households. The Las Vegas
<br />Valley greatly influenced this annual estimate. In
<br />
<br />10 Ibid.. pp. 41-82 (app. 1 by Jackson, Ernest S.).
<br />
<br />addition to the Las Vegas Valley, service was
<br />assumed to be available to Boulder City, Nevada;
<br />Parker, Yuma, Kingman, Havasu City, and
<br />Mohave Valley, Arizona; Needles, Blythe, EI
<br />Centro, Brawley, and Calexico, California; and
<br />other smaller communities. Annual detriments
<br />for each household per milligram per liter
<br />amount to $0.1087, which when multiplied by
<br />the number of households, gives a total damage
<br />for the area on an annual basis of $ 27,200.
<br />Using the range of values given in table 10, this
<br />value could vary from $20,900 to $46,500.
<br />
<br />While firm numbers are not yet fUIIJ established,
<br />a reasonable estimate suitable for the purpose at
<br />hand for the CAP is that SOme 245,000 full
<br />service equivalent households on a discounted
<br />annual basis will receive Colorado River water
<br />beginning in 1987. Household use is estimated
<br />at 937 m' (0.76 acre-It) per household each
<br />year. Annual detriments for each household per
<br />milligram per liter amount to $0.1073. Total
<br />annual detriments would be $26,300. Using a
<br />range of values given in table 10, detriments
<br />could vary from $20,500 to $45,600.
<br />
<br />The MWD water from the Colorado River will be
<br />blended with State Water Plan water with the
<br />salinity levels eventually falling to about
<br />350 mg/L according to current estimates. The
<br />equivalent full service capability of the portion
<br />of the 678 x 106 m' (550 OOO-acre-ft) Colorado
<br />River diversion alter 1987 used by households
<br />and the larger diversions up to that time amount
<br />to about 1,181,000 homes on an annual basis.
<br />It is assumed that the 1977-87 annual diversions
<br />will be about 1.298 x 10' m' (1 052000 acre-ft)
<br />for municipal use. Diversions will be cut back to
<br />6 78x 106 m' (550000 acre It) per year in 1987
<br />with 493 x 106 m' (400 000 acre-It) used for
<br />municipal purposes. Calculations are based on
<br />826 m' (0.67 acre-It) for each household per
<br />year. Annual detriments for this area are
<br />estimated to total $187,000 and the range
<br />could be between $98,000 and $219,700.
<br />
<br />The summary of economic impacts upon
<br />municipal users is shown on table 11. The most
<br />likely expected annual total for the three areas
<br />is $ 240,500 per mg/L with a reasonable range
<br />of from $140,200 to $311,800. A linear
<br />function has been used to derive municipal
<br />damages and, therefore, a constant per-unit
<br />impact is considered for the relevant levels of
<br />TDS.
<br />
<br />14
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