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<br />debris fans was reworked by dam releases between <br />1966 and 1996. Reworking of these debris fans <br />occurred during three dam releases that created <br />discharges in Grand Canyon greater than <br />powerplant capacity of 890 m3 Is. Historically, Glen <br />Canyon Dam has released one significant discharge <br />above powerplant capacity per decade. Therefore, <br />we assume that for the post-dam era, the average <br />volume reduction of aggraded debris fans is 25 <br />percent per decade. <br /> <br />Sediment-Yield Model <br /> <br />The expected value of total annual sediment <br />yield by debris flow for a given tributary is <br />estimated as; <br /> <br />E[Q,,qI=0.02'F'V(A)'R, (12) <br /> <br />where E[Q,4jl = the expected value of annual <br />sediment yield from debris flow, F = the frequency <br />factor (the expected number of debris flows per <br />century), ViA) = the maximum (V nlQ.,) or average <br />(Va.g) volume-<lnveloping curve, R = the fraction of <br />debris fans reworked by the Colorado River (either <br />I orO.25/decade), and 0.02 is a volume-to-mass and <br />century-to-annual conversion factor. Debris-flow <br />occurrence varies considerably from year-to-year, <br />both in terms of numbers of events and the volume <br />of sediment delivered (table 14, fig. \3). The <br />expected value of debris-flow sediment yield is <br />computed using a conversion factor to convert the <br />frequency information, which has a temporal unit of <br />per century, to an annual unit that is compatible <br />with streamflow sediment yield. <br />Debris flows contribute between 141,000 and <br />295,000 Mg/yr of sediment to debris fans in Grand <br />Canyon (table 17). Reach B (Marble Canyon) <br />contributes the greatest amount of debris-flow <br />sediment, which is consistent with both the <br />empirical observations on where historical debris <br />flows have occurred in the last century (fig. II) as <br />well as the mapped distribution of logistical <br />probabilities in Grand Canyon (Griffiths and others, <br />1996). Depending on the volume model used and <br />the amount of debris-fan reworking, computations <br />indicate that debris flows yield 6,440 to 53,700 Mg/ <br />yr of sand to the river corridor. <br />The debris-flow sediment-yield model requires <br />a number of important assumptions. We assume <br /> <br />that all debris flows from a given tributary are the <br />same size, which means our model does not <br />realistically depict a true magnitude-frequency <br />relation. The only magnitude-frequency relation for <br />Grand Canyon debris flows is for Prospect Canyon, <br />a tributary that arguably is not representative of <br />most of the ungaged tributaries (Webb and others, <br />I 999b). The sediment-yield model produces an <br />expected value of debris-flow sediment yield; <br />therefore, extreme events not included in our <br />historical record are not accounted for and small <br />events are inadequately represented. Some of these <br />problems could be resolved using a fully stochastic <br />model of debris-flow frequency, but objectively <br />detennining model constraints based on the limited <br />data from the ungaged tributaries would be <br />difficult. <br /> <br />TOTAL SEDIMENT YIELD OF <br />UNGAGED TRIBUTARIES <br /> <br />We combined sediment-yield estimates for <br />streamflow (data regression equation; table 6) and <br />debris flow (table 17) to estimate total annual <br />sediment yield from the ungaged drainage areas <br />(table 18). Depending upon the assumptions of the <br />debris-flow sediment-yield model (whether V ma.t or <br />Va.g is used), sediment yield by debris flow ranges <br />from about 4 to 23 percent of total sediment yield. <br />The total sediment yield is highest in Reach F (river <br />miles 156.8-226.6), reflecting the high streamflow <br />sediment yield. The percent contribution of debris- <br />flow sediment yield is highest in Reaches B, C, and <br />o because of the high frequency of debris flows in <br />those reaches (Griffiths and others, 1996). <br />We calculated a range of possible sand yields <br />given the assumptions of percent sand content (15, <br />50, and 75 percent) and debris-flow volumes (V ma.t <br />or Vavg) and report low, average, and maximum <br />sand delivery by the ungaged tributaries (table 18). <br />We then added the variable of reworking of debris <br />fans to simulate the impacts of Glen Canyon Dam <br />on sediment storage in debris fans. The sand <br />delivery rate from fully reworked debris fans, <br />which reflects pre-dam conditions, averages about <br />1.3'106 Mg/yr for all ungaged tributaries. In <br />Reaches A, B, and C (Glen and Marble Canyons, <br /> <br />TOTAL SEDIMENT YIELD OF UNGAGED TRIBUTARIES 33 <br />