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<br />.. ., <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />2 <br /> <br />runoff conditions will be extremely critical, But if there is below normal <br />precipitation and moder~te temper~tures this spring, the flood potenti~l could <br />be dramatically reduced. <br /> <br />SOUTHER~ UTAH: The seasonal water supply for southern Utah again looks very high. <br />Forecasts on the upper Sevier River range from 167% of normal at Hatch to 244% <br />inflow to Piute Reservoir, Forecasts on the San Pitch River are expected to be <br />200 to 300 percent of normal, while the inflow forecast for the reach from Sigurd <br />to Gunnison on the Sevier River is 150,000 acre-feet, 577 percent of the 20-year <br />(1961-1980) average. <br /> <br />December precipitation over southern Utah was very erratic with portions of the <br />Virgin River basin receiving less than normal while farther north on the lower <br />.Sevier River basin the a,-erage precipitation Ivas well over 200%, December amounts <br />ranged from only 42% at Bryce Canyon to 286% ~t 1~nti and 307% at Beaver Canyon <br />Power House, Seasonal precipication has also been quite err~tic following the <br />same pattern as December. The Virgin River basin was near normal, but farther <br />north in the lower Sevier Basin precipitation averaged 200 to 250 percent of <br />average. <br /> <br />Soil Conservation <br />normal snowpack.s: <br />the Virgin Basin, <br /> <br />Service snow measurements on January 1 indicate well above <br />Upper Sevier, 186%; Lower Sevier, 257%; Beaver, .236%.: and <br />149% of normal. <br /> <br />Season~l runoff has been at record levels with the Sevier Ri,er ac Hatch 24,700 <br />~cre-feet, 219% of normal; Inflow Sigurd to Gunnison on the Sevier River - 73,500 <br />acre-feet, 393%; the Sevier River ~t Gunnison 140,500 acre-feet, 435% and the <br />Beaver River near Beaver 6,700 ~cre-feet, 209%. <br /> <br />Reservoir storage in the Sevier Basin is well above normal with che combined <br />contents of Otter Creek, Piute and Sevier Bridge reservoirs at 97% of capacity <br />and 248% of average for this date. <br /> <br />Flood potential for the spring is high, particularly in the lower Sevier basin, <br />where flood prone low lying areas are suscepci.ble, However, che degree of <br />flooding Inll depend on the spring weather regime. A cold, wet spring will <br />increase the flood potential, a d~J spring with maderate temperatures will <br />reduce the tr~eat of flooding, <br /> <br />EASTERN UTAH: Water year 1983 was record breaking year in eastern Utah, Record <br />flows producing extensive damage, were reported tr~oughout the Uintah Basin. In <br />the first ,hree manths of this water year, we have had two of the three months <br />produce record or near record precipitation. Flood potential for this spring's <br />snowmelt is already high for eastern Utah drainages. <br />