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<br />Projected Plan of Operation - Water Year 1987 <br /> <br />A proposed operation plan for water year 1987 for major <br />reservoirs of the Colorado River system was formulated and <br />distributed to representatives of the Colorado River Basin <br />States in November 1986. This plan was prepared in <br />accordance with the Operating Criteria published June 4, <br />1970, in compliance with section 602, Public Law 90-537. The <br />plan reflects operation for flood contro~ domestic and <br />irrigation use of water, hydroelectric power generation, water <br />quality control, fish and wildlife propagation, recreation, and <br />Colorado River Compact requirements. <br /> <br />The water year 1987 plan is essentially the same as the plan <br />developed for water year 1986. During the rust three months <br />of water year 1987, releases will be at 45 percent of powerplant <br />capacity at Glen Canyon, then releases will increase during <br />January 1987 in order to develop sufficient vacant reservoir <br />space to reduce the risk of spilling. This also reduces the risk <br />of damaging flood releases from Hoover, Oavis, and Parker <br />Dams, should large runoff forecasts occur during the 1987 <br />runoff period. Releases from January through July will be <br />based upon the runoff forecasts received during that time but <br />will result in greater available space on August 1, 1987, than <br />the minimum flood control requirement of 1.5 MAF. <br /> <br />The plan calls for a total Glen Canyon release in water year <br />1987 of 11.7 MAF under reasonable minimum inflow <br />conditions. An annual release of14.7 MAFwould be required <br />under most probable inflow conditions, which would fill Lake <br /> <br />Powell and also equalize the active contents of Lake Powell <br />and Lake Mead by September 30, 1987. With a reasonable <br />maximum inflow during water year 1987, the projected Glen <br />Canyon releases would be 17.6 MAF. This volume of inflow <br />would require maximum powerplant releases during April <br />through August, and 75 percent powerplant capacity during <br />tbe remainder of water year 1987 to avoid the use of Glen <br />Canyon's river outlet works or spillways. <br /> <br />The projected operation for most probable runoff conditions <br />for the major reservoirs in the Colorado River Basin for water <br />year 1987 is described in the follnwing pages. <br /> <br />Charts showing the projected monthly outflows from each <br />reservoir for the three assumed hydrologic conditions are <br />presented with each reservoir operation. Each of these <br />assumptions uses the most current hydrologic information <br />available by including actual forecasted October through <br />Oecember 1986 inflows. The monthly inflows for the <br />remainder of the year were based upon the following <br />assumptions; (1) reasonable maximum based upon the annual <br />volume of inflow which would be exceeded about 10 percent <br />of the time; (2) most probable based upon the 1906 through <br />1983 natural flows developed for the Colorado River <br />Simulation System (CRSS) model depleted up to current <br />levels; and (3) reasonable minimum based upon the annual <br />volume of inflow which would be exceeded about 90 percent <br />of the time. <br /> <br />4 <br />