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<br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />.' <br />I <br />I <br /> <br />0469 <br /> <br />2.3 <br /> <br />supply of up to 51,500 AF (including both Round I and Round II sales) under a <br />dry-year condit ion, depending on the demand pattern, refl ecti ng Round II <br />shortages of up to 15 and 30 percent, respectively, for industrial and <br />municipal/domestic uses. <br />Many of the proposed municipal requests for Ruedi water in the DSES "83-69 <br />were based on anticipated population increases as Colorado's oil shale industry <br />expanded. Because the world oil market has changed, it appears that the <br />requesting entities of 1983 may reduce their projected demand for water. <br />However, as a basis for projecting future water demand it is reasonable to assume <br />that by the year 2000 or 2010 the demand for oil shale, and the consequent demand <br />for water, will increase. In addition, regardless of the condition of the oil <br />shale industry, population increases along the western slope are likely. It is <br />anticipated that the requests for water will reflect approximately an 80:20 ratio <br />between industrial and municipal/domestic, respectively, which was utilized in <br />the analyses in the DSES 83-69. Since industrial uses return a much smaller <br />percentage of the diverted flow to the stream this analysis which considers a <br />higher industrial to municipal use ratio, is more conservative. Assessment of <br />possible environmental, aesthetic, and recreational impacts will therefore <br />consider very conservative conditions. <br />Examination of the period of study, 1948 to 1983, indicated a wide range of <br />hydrologic conditions. Three years were selected for study herein to be <br />representative of this range: 1957 for wet year conditions, 1977 for dry year <br />cond+tions, and 1975 for average conditions. <br />The minimum reservoir content in an average year, such as 1975, during the <br />summer recreation period (June-August) would be about 96,200 AF. During a dry <br />year (1977), reservoir content could drop as low as 52,900 AF. The summer <br />reservoir content exceeds the volume of 52,000 AF necessary for use of the Forest <br />Service boat ramp in all years, but during a dry year falls below the 85,000 AF <br />storage level required for the boat ramps at Oearhamer Campground and the Aspen <br />Yacht Club. Releases to the Fryingpan River, including Rocky Fork Creek, in the <br />winter months would range from 116 to 133 cfs in an average year and from 31 to <br />101 cfs in a typical dry year. These flows meet or exceed the minimum release <br />requirements of the Operating Principles for the protection of recreational <br />values, including fishing on the Fryingpan River below Ruedi Reservoir. <br />The actual demand for water from Ruedi Reservoir is stimulated by shortages <br />on the Colorado River. The frequency of water demand from Ruedi increases in <br />