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<br />o <br />.;) <br />t~ <br />I,,", <br />f~ <br />N <br /> <br />~ <br /> <br />~ <br />~ <br />-...; <br /> <br />191 <br /> <br />FIGURE 6.4 <br /> <br />Average Lake Powell Storage from Simulations <br />Using Different Inflow Sequences <br />(Maximum Allowed Powell Storage, SPM = 15 MAF) <br />(Target Discharge, Dt = 8.23 MAF/yr) <br /> <br />00000 <br />20 0 <br /> <br />o 00 <br />o <br /> <br />I'" <br /> <br /><1l <br />00 <br />'" <br />>< <br />o <br />'-' <br />'" <br />.-< <br />.-< <br />~ <br />o <br />p.. <br /><1l <br />00 <br />'" <br />>< <br /><1l <br />~ <br /> <br />10 <br /> <br />o <br /> <br />~ <br />~ <br />-...; <br /> <br />""," <br />'H <br />o <br /><1l <br />lJ <br />" <br />'" <br />..... <br />>< <br />'" <br />:> 22 <br />"" <br />" <br /><II <br /><1l <br />'-' <br />m <br />.... <br />'-' <br />m <br />1>1 <br /> <br />1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 <br />Simulation Run <br /> <br />FIGURE 6.5 <br /> <br />The Decrease in Variability of Average Storage <br />Estimates with Increase in the Number of <br />Replications <br /> <br /><I <br />n <br /> <br />= - 2 <br />2 n (S - Si) <br /><I = l: n <br />n i=l n(n - 1) <br /> <br />where n = the n',mber of replications <br />included in the estimate <br />of Sn; <br /> <br />S = the average storage over n <br />n <br />replications; and <br /> <br />Si <br /> <br />the average storage from <br />the ith replication. <br /> <br />(Emshoff and Sisson, 1970; p. 200). <br /> <br />21 <br />1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 <br />Number of Replications, n <br /> <br />I <br />