Laserfiche WebLink
<br />l..-' <br />-' <br /> <br />(~ <br />1\) <br />,.... <br />~ <br /> <br />~ <br />>< <br />>> <br />~ <br />'-' <br /> <br />1118 <br /> <br />FIGURE 6.2 <br />Averagp Annual Lake Powell Discharge from <br />Simulations Usinr. Different Inflow Sequences <br />(Maximum Allowed Powell Storage, SPM = 15 MAF) <br />(Target Discharge, Dt = 8.23 NAF/yr) <br /> <br />I~ 10 <br /> <br />cD 0000000000 <br />bIl <br />>< <br />'" <br />.c <br />u <br />m <br />,,, <br />A 5 <br />r-i <br />'" <br />:l <br />" <br />~ <br /><1l <br />bIl <br />'" <br />>< 0 <br />~ <br /> <br />~ <br />>< <br />:>, <br />~ <br />'-' <br /> <br />111=1" 9.6 <br /> <br />'H <br />o <br /><1l <br />U <br />" <br />OJ <br />'" 0 <br />~ 9.5 <br />:> <br /> <br />1 2 3 4 5 6 7 IJ 9 10 <br />Simulation Run <br /> <br />FIGURE 6.3 <br /> <br />The Decrease in the Variability of Average <br />Discharge Estimates with Increase in the <br />Number of Replications <br /> <br />= <br /> <br />D +~ <br />n- n <br /> <br />Yfpy un <br /> <br />"" <br />~ <br /><1l <br />'-' <br />'" <br />;1 <br />'-' 9.4 <br />m <br />r.l 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 <br />Number of Replications, n <br /> <br />~~ <br /> <br />= - 2 <br />n CDn - Di) <br />= E , <br />i=l n(n - 1) , <br /> <br />where <br /> <br />the number of replications _ <br />included in the estimate of Dn; <br /> <br />D = the average discharge over n <br />n <br />replications; and <br /> <br />Di = the average discharge from,the <br />ith replication. <br /> <br />n = <br /> <br />= <br /> <br />(Emshoff and Sisson, 1970; p. 200). <br />