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<br />OOulb6 <br /> <br />VII. PROGRAM PLAN <br /> <br />The CREST Program consists of five major components: the demonstration, <br />transferability, extended area, environmental/social, and evaluation sub- <br />programs. These subprograms are discussed in the following sections: <br /> <br />A. Demonstration Program <br /> <br />The main objective of the demonstration program is to produce additional <br />water in the Colorado River Basin and thereby confirm and quantify the <br />feasibility of using weather modification for increasing snowpack and <br />subsequent runoff into the Colorado River system. It will adapt existing <br />technology into a design of a two subbasin demonstration of the technology. <br /> <br />After completion of public scoping meetings, two subbasins will be selected <br />and prepared for the demonstration tests. These subbasins will be repre- <br />sentative of the two classes of cloud systems that have been identified as <br />candidates for precipitation increases in the Basin. Concurrent studies <br />will be initiated in the other high potential subbasins to facilitate <br />transferability of seeding techniques and results. Based on scientific <br />and logistical considerations the preferred subbasins for the demonstra- <br />tion tests are the White River Plateau in the north and the San Juan <br />Mountains in the south. The Grand Mesa is preferred as the main subbasin <br />for conducting the core physical investigations needed to coordinate and <br />integrate the transferability studies. <br /> <br />The two preferred subbasins present a diversity of terrain and meteoro- <br />logical characteristics which are representative of those occurring over <br />the entire Basin. The terrain found in the White River Plateau area is <br />quite similar to that of the Mogollon Rim, while portions of the San Juan <br />Mountains closely replicate the precipitous terrain of several of the <br />other subbasins. The White River Plateau is most affected by westerly <br />and northwesterly flow storms, while the San Juan Mountains receive <br />important precipitation-bearing storms from the south and southwest. <br />Other factors that influenced site selection were orientation of the <br />mountain mass with respect to prevalent storm tracks, availability of <br />useful background data or climatologies, presence of highway access to <br />potential high elevation observatory sites, and suitable regions downwind <br />of the target area for investigation of extra-area effects. <br /> <br />The demonstration tests will include randomized cloud seeding supported by <br />state-of-the-art measurements of the chain of physical events leading from <br />seeding to precipitation on the ground. These tests will also provide <br />information to clarify the validity and nature of extended area and envi- <br />ronmental effects, and to refine suspension criteria for maximizing safety <br />of operations. The collection of transferability data in the other <br />subbasins will be continued so that seeding procedures for all the candi- <br />date areas in a Basin-wide operational program can be specified. <br /> <br />1. General physical hypothesis. - Considerable experience with <br />natural and artificially modified winter orographic storms has accumu- <br />lated over the past 30 years. Recently developed instrumentation <br /> <br />25 <br />