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<br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br /> <br />1505 <br /> <br /> <br />parcels could be served from the river without storage if an <br /> <br /> <br />acceptable shortage criteria were considered. All computer <br /> <br /> <br />operating simulations of the river were run on monthly time <br /> <br /> <br />increments for a 30-year historical period 1951 through 1980 using <br /> <br /> <br />the estimated virgin flows developed by W.W. Wheeler & Associates. <br /> <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br /> <br />The irrigation shortage criteria used by the u.s. Bureau of <br /> <br /> <br />Reclamation in their planning studies were adopted as the acceptable <br /> <br /> <br />criteria for this study. These criteria provide that the <br /> <br /> <br />accumulated shortages in the irrigation supplies delivered shall not <br /> <br /> <br />exceed the following proportions of the average annual irrigation <br /> <br /> <br />requirement: <br /> <br /> <br />o 50 percent in any single year, <br /> <br /> <br />o 75 percent in any two consecutive years, or <br /> <br /> <br />o 100 percent in any ten consecutive years. <br /> <br />The simulations for Case I consisted of operating a reservoir at Site <br /> <br /> <br />9 using the total virgin flows on the Mancos River below its <br /> <br /> <br />confluence with Weber Canyon (Point 17 on Figure D-ll) adjusted to <br /> <br /> <br />account for the estimated stream losses above Point 17 due to <br /> <br /> <br />phreatophytes. No 'adjustment to the virgin flows at Point 17 on <br /> <br /> <br />account of the additional drainage area between Point 17 and Site 9 <br /> <br /> <br />was made since the incremental inflow was estimated to average only <br /> <br /> <br />0.5 percent of the flow at Point 17. During the irrigation months, <br /> <br /> <br />inflows to the reservoir were bypassed through the reservoir to the <br /> <br /> <br />extent required to meet first, the estimated stream losses due to <br /> <br />30 <br />