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<br />OnJ342 <br /> <br />Analysis Section, has been assigned overall technical coordination responsibility; <br />he 110'111 be assisted by Mr. Jim Rubingh, resource analyst in the section. <br /> <br />Colorado's technical contribution to this study consists of five major com- <br />Ponents: <br /> <br />farm-level analysis <br />energy analysis <br />hydrology analysis <br />regional economic analysis <br />demographic and environmental analysis <br /> <br />The purpose of element A-I (farm economics) is to analyze the relationships <br />between declining water levels, rising energy costs and agricultural production at <br />the individual farm level for a four-decade period (1980-2020). Dr. Robert Young, <br />with the Department of Economics at Colorado State University, is responsible for <br />t1is analysis. Important variables to be projected during this period include: pro- <br />duction and value of selected crop and livestock enterprises; and quantity and value <br />of inputs such as land, water, labor, machinery, energy, fertilizer and pesticides. <br />Projections will be made for each of several different water supply, energy, and pub- <br />lic policy scenarios. Linear programming models will be used to estimate direct <br />projections. <br />The Office of Energy Conservation was aSSigned lead responsibility in the <br />A-2 energy element. The purpose is to project time profiles for the study region <br />in the areas of: 1) energy production, 2) royalty payments to landowners for <br />energy production, 3) employment directly and indirectly related to the energy <br />industry, 4) water used for energy production, and 5) energy requirements for <br />irrigation. Mr. Ronald Cattany, Director of Energy AnalYSis and Program Assess- <br />ment, has been assigned to manage these responsibilities. OEC will work closely <br />with the Department of Natural Resources in the development of energy production <br />data, the Division of Planning in employment and income data, and Colorado State <br />University in irrigation data. OEC will review price projections and technology <br />assessments of the general contractor as well as assemble the final report. <br /> <br />The Ground Water Section of the Division of Water Resources, Department <br />of Natural Resources; headed by Dr. Bruce E. DeBrine, is responsible for the A-3a <br />or watj:lr related element. The section, in constant contact and working very <br />closely with the U. S. Geological Survey, has up-to-date detailed information on <br />the geohydrologic characteristics of the aquifer, well development and yields, <br />irrigated acreage and water table fluctuations. This information will be analyzed and <br />reduced for computer entry to supply information and projections on water avail- <br />ability and well production lifts, and other pertinent data to the other study ele- <br />ments, A-3.1 through A-3. 9 and for input to elements A-I and A-2. A computer grid <br />compatible with the needs of the other elements and adjoining states will be develOp- <br />ed for each of the proposed subregions of the Colorado Ogallala Study area. Projec- <br />tions are planned for lO-year periods from 1980 to 2020 and will be made under con- <br />ditions of a continuously declining water level (supply) assuming no recharge, and <br />declines of well withdrawals related to declining water levels. The projection will <br />be refined for inclusion in task A-3. 9 as needed. Continuing coordination with the <br />other study elements groups will be maintained at all stages. <br /> <br />6 <br /> <br /> <br />iijj - <br /> <br />'/. <br /> <br />