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<br />.. 't... ',. <br /> <br />0D2878 <br /> <br />RANGE <br /> <br />REMOVE SECTION TITLED "Demand Trends" (FEIS PAGE 11I-8lJ) UNDER THE RANGE <br />SECTION AlID REPLACE WITH THE FOLLOWING: <br /> <br />Demand Trends - Range use on the Forest has been rather consistent over the <br />last nine years., However, there have been some recent changes in the livestock <br />market. Demand for beef nationwide is decreasing (Wall Street Journal 8/7/86 - <br />"Slimmer Steers: Meat Industry Gears Up To Give Beef A Leaner, Healthier' <br />Image"). Per-capita consumption is down to 79.1 pounds pel' year compared to <br />94.4 pounds a decade ago. Cattle herds are expected to shrink to 95 million <br />head by 1988, down 10 percent from the 105.5 million head of January 1986 (Wall <br />Street Journal 6/6/86 - "Cattlemen, Still Tightening Theil' Belts To Cut Herds <br />10% by 1988, Analysts Say"). Local cattle ranchers are being hard hit by the <br />slump in the cattle market. This is expected to result in a considerably lower <br />demand for National Forest grazing. <br /> <br />Due to the uncertainty of the future local grazing industry and the relatively <br />flat use trends of the past, a three year average (since the Forest Plan was in <br />effect) was used to represent current and future use. This time period best <br />represents the current uncertain livestock market. Table 111-26 displays the <br />future livestock demand estimates using the three year average. <br /> <br />TABLE 111-26. <br /> <br />LIVESTOCK DEMAND <br />(AUK's Per Year) <br /> <br /> Time Period <br /> Current 1988-1997 1998-2007 2008-2017 2018-2027 2028-2037 <br />-Actual <br />Livestock <br />Use 302,984 302,984 302,984 302,984 302,984 302,984 <br /> <br />11 <br /> <br /> <br />/1'1 <br />,(ll/ <br />,UJ <br />r" <br />VCIA'! <br />U." <br />~"'/...., <br />