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.....IJ () 0:J ~I ' r Op-. A~" ~",..""I"I COMPARING POSSIBLE FUTURES n.....,Ioo_.. d"f'l.oyfou.d,lI..n'II 10_""'- fVl."'_.I_,.C"",..do\ II,Ih Pl&,ooor".._lj.',,,, O\'all'.u..lloIaAqu,!tllhntIOfftOu'o(lhtlu'u,.. ............._....,.,ok~byll..H,.IIP111i..Sh"'y ."" we d....._ 1II mol"< &1.11 n p.... 4-1(1. lilac ......ri......rrnrofld '" ",.,tI'.......d "",_ta'...",,,, ...'I.o....lo't>c......... ..o_""no~_d.....IoI""lIl...1 ..."..~.""l....".'.~'....p....,_n.....'" """doop..... l'nd.. ~..Sfl.J..I:........"''''... ,....,.,ed <<"",I.fId" proj<.-l<<l '...<<h.... '"4Opc.""n' 0'''' (I.. n..' olO_,. Only 1Iall' ...."""I.fId ~.... "",...- ""~.,"'" ondc..be fffIClf,<n'.fldltfsllll("lIO"""""--'"'l"o.t>l 0''1"''''. .If"'.....,.. _'0 ,ha, ''''p'_ or.....n. f..""lron_.l.onol..ndlco"""'omon...'......... p.ojc.."ttd ,.. """.. ,... ""M'''''''' "..... ...1<1' ""n,oTOPli.. em",. .Ioa i......,.."ot ,II< /"".."'l"l <>f imp-lion Il>c sl;I'.'n 1<'<....,... ...o.....,ha, ..t~,. 'io...I........""Wl>tbrollll'lI''"''olll<.,..'o..",,,,. paYO""'1 ""p'ed Iond. II,,,, ~.nl d'j oo6tf ,II. RPiTltlCT10"i""......., P,Ol<'-ljont....-.~~,",,""I....., bo.o) br.....'" onck< .m","", '0 ,lie ..ndllilh ~,.. _..,,,...'.d...........,ond(.'bcSIIPrIYK."'.,,olo "'-S,ll(II)acfftll.1fl2U IRRIGATED CROPLAND 700 - BASELINE ..... EFFICIENCY _u RESTRICTION _.- SUPPLY "' W '" "600 .. ~ o "' o z .. "' => o '" ... '00 400 300 1979'85 '90 .000 YEAR IRRIGATION WATER PUMPED ...1200 w lflloo , ~IOOO ~ "- 08 "' o Z 700 .. ~600 o "'000 I- 1979 '85 '90 2000 YEAR ".......IIfIWII..~""....k rroml""o,..llola Aqud".. d.."';.....ti""rulDf'Ul.III"1'._.,pttnnl<>'n,~, _...-penool-dc.';c.J '0''''' d"'pi. ''''I',td aofta.._.nd<rlll<lIl1.SFI.I..r<TI-<< T1>t'...I.... ._, II!Il u,.... ,~"'ptd uDde, 'Il< 1HIC1f"C' _.......II<CI_ i."",,_ ..,_...... 10-.... ,lot ""'" r>I "I'plyl.....'.'.adru-men".....l<......IoDd TlI< ._oI...'.._4<>IIIOirnit>~'h.odd~IOOIlland.. ,",,""llLUlbrl\'llal._,...'>'CdIL)""pI"o,'t'd .....,ioft, .If..........,... "'"" The IlESTRlCTlO~ ......,.,o_..........~..a'..,"'..,i""cif~.nol ........io......lI,"'.......orrip'_....I.'.."IId......;. ~1...,...................'hd.._-.l..U.. SUPPIV cut it Mlt......I..illl'''"'lo,'bt ItESTIl.IC. TlO'............d.bt-..l.......'<dlol>lb-..ouId_ 1IIIpO<t<d.....,..,.....,'"' PAGE SCENARIOS STRATEGIES ,~, .'. a.o.sELINE EfFICIE1<lCY "SUS"'.I".lhual" ImprO'\l.''''Oi''oOn E"",,,,nf;)' .,' 9.10 IlESTRIC1ION SUPPl-Y ~litI"lcIO'OU"".."....UH 1r>e......W.lorS"pply " ~........- REMAINING STOCK OF WATER ... 100 w /PhYSiCOI Stock w ~ 90 , w --- '" 80 --- ----- --- ~ .... .... 70 ~'" ~ 0 '" 60 Z 0 '0 ~ ~ 40 " 80 '90 1979'S!!l .000 '.0 YEAR '.0 UnJ. It!< II..SlU'""',..,.... ,It ._M '" clt<1""" ....,.j1''''''iI.''''''P<d.'n'...,...,~1O ll<<l,inlt....,......l.._....,.h.."o~.,lbonll. <: If ..t.,. _"",io> 1><<,... ". ,,,.~...,,~ ""p"oo .m. ...,,,,,l'lot<<1ed.h,Io,r,o",,,,,,o,.I,,,,otlocttldo, ..,.. ""pA'io. pu",!,'", <.pl.,. ..11\ .I<."..,,~ 0'"' .. ~.o>jc<ud'o'n.'c,,",oodcrOl" ""'~I'I.I"I_...riol... 'he..... lO)<".. ~'""....i~. '~eI<<<'",,', dono' oil"", .",,,,'od ........"'d<<......wOoIr"...,UqRlc-lIU... .......I......,...."..__,~....dl""'..~..,,lr.....,'...4(). ,.~. ,,"1Od. Tile SI"'I'I \ """"'10 ."tU,rn .1,..h.l! """"'....""tl..,~lbcRISTRI'.IIIl'....na"o_"'" .dJ~,......llond i>~n4...m..."o" '.0 VALUE OF CROP PRODUCTION ",600 '" ~ ~ - BASELINE -.... EFFICIENCY --- RESTRICTION -.- SUPPLY 500 " N ..."" / ...,> ....~;... " " " ..- / -' / -' ,-- 400 800 1979 'S!5 '90 2000 YEAR OPTIONS FOR ACTIO~ o NO "-cllOn , Rn,ureh .nll De",on51"hon- Convoetlhonll CtDPI 2 ReMll,,,,,....,Dernon,'fll>OR- AIl"","W C'o>>f; 3, Edl>Cl,ron.nclTIC"nocaJASsisllftoD11 . EllClI."Ity....lclnoPoI....... 5. Rev_Gl'Ou""...I1\lO'Polic:le. 6 In'_....W,,'..'T,....,., 1 Int,..W'"W.,.., T,ans!.' a Allull\lO'R""narll" 9 !-I;g" P1a1m OhoIoP......,.ncl P,omat_80s'lI 10 ~"'OI<lO"'mc:1l."V..llhon 11 G_n"'et>IRllloIa'oons lh.. p'r" d"r"'''' 1>0,,, ,be phl~",.1 .,...< 01 ...,., ..",..n.,.. ;n II>< .~",I" ., ..,h ".... r<""" "ok! 'M pon.....hi<II.......om...U'.l'<'<o,........F..-.-,..""./I, 1......,...~I,.....';,.d.r......:..,."""'I...I.."'u~..1 .lllt<t 01 ""...'od '''K......' n.. pU"'I"nJ ..,. 01 """''';oaml''''.....Il.'''''i".'od..~.................,... ,..""",.'o-d,h",'~'I.U.""o..."f.... "'pomp."" ..,"d<d""'.I<....o<.CH....."..,..,...:Iptt""UI;ndc, ,,,..dtf,.,I......fIO"........-lloto.qO;r.r..""SOI~ol ...lu,.I...:I ,II,.~""" '.'....'n".l)l~ Jr<,,,I..onom,,,,ll> ,.....fttlhl. ...cr. 110< 1....~'0'01 "0<'",0/...1.. I....'h. SU'I'''' .nd Rl'SIUR",nO" _...no.ll< iOta'",.1 .._.4d"~,..ISl:prl\....IO,.......Id.....,lo<c....'.. I I lQ 500 il '" , ... ~ '3 '" ~ o "' z o :J ~ " ELECTRIC ENERGY USE .... ...... .....~ ~"~ ~..... , , , , , , , , , , " '- --- 400 800 -- '-'- --- --- .00 1979 .000 YEAR "0 '85 '90 '20 III.. .,.pIt .~..... ,1101 r". '_1,..1.. nI.II,,,,p I'f<"!lK1;<>o-!to", ""'~ ",;,.,t<! .nd d.~ lond " f""i<'<1t>l'o.........o...........h_......OVal........'D "" ~oUan. ... II,,, I"'pb ~""'n' ,""'.... I..."", 'nllo".....lllc..l......-.."I.l"od.........""'...,...<'Illo ""_".d...."' p'O]<<I<'Il dt<k_ i. orriplCtl.",...... t"',..o....."'_.F...'...npl;...pn....."'...,...~"',o .....,w.-,..........;OI.""hot""'.I.I,'...I'.......,.'ntllu .. 'II< rou Sc<ond.<o..._",pnC<PO;"",..... <<wWpc<l b) n..o... .... '11< H.,II PIo"" S"ol) "'. ..pcc,<dlo~_I."..'I>r.OI...,.l<cf,nI\at_o.u .""lIO-1".,,.......,. G'."m....l...p<tbvol>d.""'....uI l"'t"llK1ion. pl...""moJ hl&"".)~l4> 1"",.............. ,.... off>el ",..!<'<'<d ~td,.... ,n im&>tN ._.... lhe pn'IJt<1......oI~'1"".,ulrrit'<tlol<Oll_......"'" but.l_I............of....'.._ndl"'lood..d f,"".dllCl._l.o'_Jh'..'".ndtlrJf&~'o'oI.._ d....'lo....Iudt...........u...lp"".... I I I 1 I