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<br />000219 <br /> <br />9 <br /> <br />ELEMENT TASKS A-1 ,3 THROUGH A-1 ,6: DEVELOP CONSISTENT <br />INTERSTATE MODELING ASSUMPTIONS AND PROCEDURES <br /> <br />A, Description of Sub-tasks <br />The major effort in this set of sub-tasks is to develop a model that <br />is suitable for analyzing the long-term water management problem in the <br />High Plains area, For purposes of accurate aggregate projections, the <br />models must be consistent in general format, assumptions and procedures, <br />(See Wilkinson/ADL memo of March 16,1979 for details,) In particular, <br />the model structure for Colorado sub-areas must be consistent wi th those of <br />the other states (Task A-l ,6), Further, the models must be designed in <br />such a way that projections of output prices, input prices, productivity <br />relations under alternative scenarios are handled in an equivalent fashion <br />for each area, <br />Specific issues to be addressed are: <br />(a) Which crop and livestock enterprises in the model? <br />(b) Input cost components for each enterprise; fixed and variable <br />cost breakdowns, Input prices to be consistent with rest of region, <br />(c) Incorporating energy and water cost variations into the model <br />(consul ting services from an irrigation engineer required here), <br />(d) Product prices for sel ected enterpri ses, Such pri ces to be in <br />accordance with historic regional differences, <br />(e) Consistent assumptions regarding federal policies (price supports, <br />acreage controls, direct payments, etc.), <br />