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<br />001100 <br /> <br />Draft - 9/81 <br /> <br />Valley experienced an exodus of young people. Although this <br /> <br />trend is likely to dimInish, no spectacular growth is anticipated <br /> <br />for the region. Discussion wIth personnel of the Division of <br /> <br />Planning reveals that actual population figures will trend toward <br /> <br />the low-medium projections. <br /> <br />. '. <br /> <br />Growth in this region, which includes 20 percent of Montrose <br /> <br />County, is expected to be more robust than in the adjacent Rio <br /> <br />Grande RegIon. The low projection for the year 2000 anticipates <br /> <br />an additional 39,560 people above .the 1979 estimate of 55,_60, <br /> <br /> <br />the high projection, an additional 51,360. These represent <br /> <br />Increases of 71.3 percent and 92.6 percent respectively. It <br /> <br />~ should be noted that this high projection constitutes close to a <br /> <br />doubling of the population in a 21 year period. Tourism and <br /> <br />\ <br />~ <br /> <br />uran.ium exploration or mining may underlie the growth trends. <br /> <br />The Division of Planning anticipates that the actual statistics <br /> <br />will tend toward the low-medium projections. <br /> <br />Gunnison <br /> <br />The three hydrologic regions in the northwestern part of the <br /> <br />state are the three about which there is the most uncertainty and <br /> <br />speculation. The big variable is the extent of future energy <br /> <br /> <br />development. (Eighty percent of the Montrose County population <br /> <br />was allocated to the Gunnison Region, again on the basis of the <br /> <br />1970 population distribution.) <br /> <br />The projections for the Gunnison Region indicate that sub- <br /> <br />stantial growth will occur. The high projectIon predicts that by <br /> <br />1990 the population will have doubled. Starting from a modest <br /> <br />1979 population of _8,7_0, the low projection anticipates 116,580 <br /> <br />11 <br />