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<br />OOlll14 <br /> <br />danger, when cloud seeding would be suspended under <br />accepted procedures in areas of high avalanche frequency, <br />such as many chutes in the Red Mountain Pass of the <br />San Juan Mountains, many avalanches run during nearly every <br />major storm, and successful forecast and warning procedures <br />have been developed, at least partially under the spur of <br />prospective precipitation management. The occurrence of <br />delayed avalanches, after the storm has passed, is related <br />part 1 y to the augmented part of the snow load. and mos t 1 y <br />to features of snow stratigraphy and metamorphosis not <br />affected by precipitation management. To the extent that <br />precipitation management focuses attention on avalanche <br />warning and countermeasures, it will tend to reduce, not <br />increase the hazard." [16, pp. 494-495J <br /> <br />Reclamation will continue its interest in studies to improve under- <br />standing and forecasting of avalanche events. Avalanche conditions are <br />included in the suspension criteria for winter orographic cloud seeding <br />projects and will be included in suspension criteria for this project. <br /> <br />Potential increases in flooding must be considered and avoided in the <br />design of a cloud seeding program. Models will be developed to assess <br />the interaction of snowpack levels, runoff levels, and flooding events. <br />A review of the historical record and model 'calculations will provide <br />information needed to set cutoff levels for cloud seeding when the <br />snowpack reaches a certai n "percent of normal" (average). Project <br />suspension criteria will be effective automatically when the cutoff <br />level is reached to prevent increasing flood hazards in a seeded <br />area. <br /> <br />3. Impacts on plant and animal communities. - The impacts of snowpack <br />augmentation on forest vegetation were studied in the San Juan Ecology <br />Project [14J, the Medicine Bow Ecology Project [18J, and the Sierra <br />Ecology Project [19J. In discussing the Medicine Bow Study, the <br />Project Skywater Programmatic Final Environmental Statement states: <br /> <br />"Few circumstances were found where snow accumulation <br />appeared to be a limiting factor in forest ecology. One of <br />these, it was suggested, was at some locations near tree- <br />line where ribbons of forest alternate with glades in which <br />snow accumulates. The depth of snow, and the adverse <br />effect of snow molds on survival of young trees, apparently <br />serve to stabilize the boundaries of the glades. An <br />increase in average wintertime precipitation might lead to <br />an extension of the area where the glade-and-ribbon pattern <br />prevails. On the other hand, in a New Mexico setting, the <br />growth of spruce was found to be uniform in adjacent areas <br />even though the average snowpack differed by a factor of <br />more than eight. <br /> <br />"The conc 1 us i on was reached that a hi gher mean snow accumu- <br />lation probably would not affect primary productivity <br />unless the growing season was shortened." [1, pp. 3-111J <br /> <br />17 <br />