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<br />" <br /> <br />d. No observation or measurement of suspended material in the seepage water has <br />been reported. <br /> <br />However, we doubt that the above considerations would constitute sufficiently <br />conclusive evidence that fOlUJdation/embankment material could not be carried by the <br />seepage water for the following reasons: <br /> <br />a. Even if there are no continuous joints through the seepage aquifer, that does not <br />necessarily preclude piping of soil along the seepage paths. Ob'liously there Me one <br />or more continuous paths for the seepage flow. If these paths consists of a series of <br />interconnected but differently oriented joints and bedding planes, the resulting <br />circuitous seepage routes would reduce the potential for transportation of <br />embankment/folUJdation material but would not eliminate that possibility. <br /> <br />b. It is possible that seepage may not exclusively be following natural joints and <br />planes. Construction of the outlet tunnel may have created fractures or opened <br />existing joints. <br /> <br />c. Unless seepage discharges are carefully monitored for suspended material, the slow <br />removal of material canied by seepage water may not be visually identifiable. <br /> <br />d. The fact that the dam and reservoir has operated over a long period of time with <br />little or no expressions of piping soil loss does not necessarily assure that removal of <br />embankment/foundation material is not occuning and will not occur for a number <br />of reasons: <br /> <br />i. Cavities in tile embankment and/or foundation can develop slowly over a long <br />period of time as a result of slow, long term removal of material. It is possible <br />that this removal of material can occur intennittently under certain periodic flow <br />conditions. Relatively large cavities can develop without collapsing and causing <br />sUlface expressions. <br /> <br />ii. A catastrophic piping-related failure would not necessarily be exclusively the <br />result of embankment/folUJdation material being carried through joints in the <br />bedrock. It is possible that the slow development of cavities as described above <br />could progress, increasing pore pressures and seepage forces in the <br />embankment and foundation soils surrounding the cavities. Possible long-term <br />serious consequences of this process could include forcing seepage to the <br />surface or instability of the downstream embankment. <br /> <br />iii. There are conditions in addition to erosion of the sandstone aquifer that could <br />result in the enlargement of seepage paths. The Martin and Wood report noted <br />that the local formations are of marine deposition and that there are indications <br />of significant removal of soluble material. This dissolution of material has the <br />potential of significantly increasing the size of seepage paths and, therefore, <br />increasing the potential for removal of embankment/foundation material over <br />