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<br />. <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />usual use of this term should not lead to the conclusion that <br />the event indicated can happen only once in x years, and having <br />occurred, will not happen again for another period of x years. <br />It means rather that over a long span of years, we can expect as <br />many x-year floods (or larger) as there are x-year-long periods <br />within that span. Floods occur randomly and may be bunched or <br />spread out unevenly with respect to time, and predicting their <br />distribution is not possible. The frequency of a particular <br />flood event should be considered as the percent chance of an <br />event of that magnitude (or greater) occurring in anyone year. <br />A 100-year flood would therefore have a 1% chance of being <br />equaled or exceeded in any given year. <br /> <br />The PMF does not have a frequency value per se, although it is <br />sometimes assigned a frequency value of 1,000 years for <br />comparative analysis in frequency studies. It can be seen from <br />the above definition of flood frequency that the PMF can occur <br />the first year after a project is bui lt, although the odds are <br />very heavily against it. <br /> <br />G. <br />1. <br /> <br />RESERVOIR SEDIMENTATION <br />Sediment Yield <br />Sediment inflow into the Webster Hill reservoir was estimated <br />from USBR measurements of suspended sediment in the Colorado <br />River at the Rulison Bridge, approximately 4 mi downstream from <br />the dam site. The USBR measurements were made during the spring <br />flood of 1979, when river flows ranged from 1,758 cfs on March 3 <br />to 21,150 cfs on June 15. The 13 suspended sediment measure- <br />ments taken by the USBR were plotted against the measured river <br />discharges on a logarithmic scale, and a sediment rating curve <br />was constructed by fitting two power functions to the data using <br />the least squares method. <br /> <br />An est imate of the average suspended sed iment load was computed <br />by combining the data from the sediment rating curve with the <br />flow duration data compiled from an analysis of the DeBeque and <br /> <br />3686-a/5 <br /> <br />1-12 <br />