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<br />I <br />I <br />I <br /> <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br /> <br />I <br />I <br />I <br /> <br />I <br />I <br /> <br />I <br />I <br />I <br /> <br /> <br />A number of population projections for Swink have been prepared by different <br />agencies. In all cases these projections are based on a 1970 population of <br />381 as reported by U.S. Census Data. An examination of the 1970 census of Colorado <br />4th Count Summary for the Swink area, shows a population count of 474 persons. <br />It is unclear at this time why such a large discrepancy exists between the summary <br />count and the population reported. However a number of factors indicate that <br />the population as reported in 1970 was too low. Considering the dwelling units <br />existing in Swink, the average density per dwelling units, the number of water and <br />sewer taps, etc. indicates that the 1976 population is substantially higher than <br />~eported or estimated figures. c Also a rough census by the town council in 1975 <br />indicated that the population was in excess of 600 at that time. Using the data <br />reported in the 1970 4th Count Summary as a basis. The average density per dwelling <br />unit was 2.67 persons/unit. There are currently 235 occupied dwelling units <br />in town. This would yield a present population of 627.' <br /> <br />Three projections of population were prepared and are shown on Figure II. Included <br />on Figure II are the projections made by two other entities. It should be realized <br />that attempting to project population growth over an extended period of time, no <br />matter how sophisticated the methods used, is subject to many complex and fluctuating <br />variables. The only sure' thing that can be said about a long-range projection <br />is that it will be inaccurate. With this in mind, a population projection must <br />be established as a basis for design and the projections shown in Figure II will <br />be used. For purposes of planning water use improvements to meet population re- <br />quirements, the M.E.M. medium projection is considered as the most realistic and <br />will be used. For purposes of planning water rate schedules and debt service for <br />capital improvement, the M.E.M. low projection is considered as the most con- <br />servative and will be used. <br /> <br />-20- <br />