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<br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br /> <br />II. PLANNING CRITERIA <br /> <br />A. PLANNING THEORY <br /> <br />To plan for the future water requirements of the District, the normal <br />procedure is to first estimate what the future growth is expected to be, <br />and then assign the water demand on a per capita or per unit basis to <br />the forecasted growth to obtain an estimated total quantity of water <br />required. <br /> <br />Various methods of forecasting growth exist, most of which are related <br />to time and percent increases. Per person (per capita) water uses are <br />based on standard values, or when data is available, on historic records. <br /> <br />B. GROWTH PROJECTIONS <br /> <br />In this report, population figures are presented which represent two <br />distinct situations: the present state of development, and ultimate <br />development. A majority of the land within the boundaries of the Blue <br />River Water District has been subdivided and/or zoned. For the remain- <br />ing areas, we have estimated the housing densities based on the sur- <br />rounding areas, physical land conditions, and with our conversations <br />with the Summit County Planning Department; Utilizing this information, <br />a tabulation has been made of each parcel, filing or subdivision cur- <br />rently completed, under construction or proposed; whether on platted or <br />unplatted land. Each parcel has been assigned the number of housing or <br />accommodation units which currently exist and which are ultimately <br />planned for. Therefore, the ultimate level of development as estimated, <br />provides input for the determination of ultimate water requirements. <br /> <br />II-l <br />