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<br />The recurrence interval, or return period, may be computed from <br />the equation <br /> <br />T <br /> <br />1 <br />P(C) <br /> <br />(3) <br /> <br />For the regional regression analysis, 15 gaging stations located <br />in the drainage basins of North Fork South Platte River, Bear <br />Creek, Clear Creek, Upper St. Vrain Creek, and Upper Big Thompson <br />River were selected. These stations were selected so that peak <br />flows are not significantly affected by diversions and/or regulations <br />and lengths of record are at least 15 years. Among the 15 stations, <br />the drainage areas range from 14.4 to 575 square miles and the <br />mean watershed elevations range from 8,800 to 11,140 feet. The <br />average length of record is 43 years. <br /> <br />From the recorded streamflow charts, the annual peak flows of <br />rain floods and snowmelt floods were determined for each gaging <br />statione For each individual station, the mean, standard deviation <br />(and hence the coefficient of variation), and skew were computed <br />from the annual flood series for each type of flood event. Regres- <br />sions of the means, coefficients of variation, and skews on drainage <br />areas and mean watershed elevations were then carried out for <br />the 15 stations in the region. <br /> <br />Final regression equations, or regional relationships, thus obtained <br />are as follows: <br /> <br />0.627 log A <br /> <br />MR <br />MS <br /> <br />1.271 <br /> <br />(4) <br /> <br />0.443 log A <br /> <br />1.751 <br /> <br />(5) <br /> <br />When: <br /> <br />R Rainfall events <br /> <br />S Snowmelt events <br /> <br />M Mean of the logarithms of annual floods <br /> <br />A Drainage area (in square miles). <br /> <br />For any ungaged site in the region with a given drainage area, <br />the regional relationships, equations (4) and (5), may be used <br />to compute M in the flood-frequency relationship for each type <br />of event by equation (1). <br /> <br />The Colorado Urban Hydrograph Procedure (CUHP) (Reference 6) was <br />used to estimate the 10-, 50-, and 100-year flood discharges for <br />the study reaches of Mount Vernon Creek and Bear Creek Tributary <br /> <br />10 <br />