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Last modified
1/26/2010 10:12:05 AM
Creation date
10/5/2006 4:55:40 AM
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Title
Guidelines for Determining Flood Flow Frequency Bulletin 17A
Date
3/1/1977
Prepared By
USWRC
Floodplain - Doc Type
Educational/Technical/Reference Information
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<br />;Lsing the combination of probabilities method discussed in Appendix 4. <br />the test is based on the assumption that the data has a log-Pearson Type III <br />distribution with a skew coefficient between about ~0.5 and may not be <br />applicable to incomplete records or records with zero flood years. ... <br /> <br />C. Refinements to Frequency Curve <br />The accuracy of flood probability estimates based upon statistical analy- <br />sis of flood data deteriorates for probabilities more rare than those direct- <br />ly defined by the period of systematic record. This is partly because of the <br />sampling error of the statistics from the station data and partly because the <br />basic underlying distribution of flood data is not known exactly. <br />Although additional flood data can often be obtained and incorporated in <br />the analysis of flood levels at high flows and rare exceedance levels, pro- <br />cedures for doing so cannot be standardized to the same extent as those used <br />for systematic records. The purpose for which the flood frequency informat- <br />ion is needed will determine the amount of time and effort that can justifi- <br />ably be spent to obtain and analyze historic data, to make comparisons with <br />other watersheds, and make and utilize flood estimates from precipitation. <br />The remainder of the recommendations in this section are guides for use of <br />these additional data to refine the flood frequency analysis. <br />The analyses to include when determining the flood magnitudes with 0.01 <br />exceedance probability vary with length of systematic record as shown by an <br />X in the following tabulation: <br /> <br />Analyses to Include <br />Statistical Analysis <br />Historic Data <br />Comparisons With Similar Watersheds <br /> <br />Flood Estimates From Precipitation <br /> <br />Length of Record Available <br />10 to 24 25 to 50 50 or more <br /> <br />X <br />X <br />X <br /> <br />X <br /> <br />X <br />X <br />X <br /> <br />X <br />X <br /> <br />All types of analyses should be incorporated when defining flood magni- <br />tudes for exceedance probabilities of less than 0.01. The following sections <br />describe how to include the various types of flood information in the analysis. <br /> <br />17 <br /> <br />f' <br /> <br />'. <br />
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