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<br />As an example, suppose an estimate of Q25 was required for an ungaged <br />basin with a effective drainage area of 8.25 mi'. As indicated in table 4, equa- <br />tion 17 should be used, the resultant estimate of Q25 being 3,950 ft3 Is. <br /> <br />Flood Volumes <br /> <br />The relationship between peak discharge and flood volume was studied using <br />both recorded and synthetic flood data. The analysis of recorded data produced <br />equation 1. while the analysis of synthetic data produced three relations of which <br />equation 4 was judged to provide the best results. Both equations 1 and 4 are <br />quite similar. However, because the synthetic data base is (1) much broader <br />with respect to number and size of floods, and (2) a better estimate of the magni- <br />tude of rare floods (such as QIOO as previously discussed), equation 4 will pro- <br />bably provide the best overall estimates of flood volume from peak discharge for <br />small ungaged basins in the study area. This relationship is given in table 4 and <br />is app licable to pea k discharges less than about 13,000 ft3 s. For examp Ie, the <br />volume for a 3 ,950-ft' Is peak discharge, previously determined to be Q25 for an <br />8.25 mi' basin, is estimated using equation 4 to be 285 acre-ft. <br /> <br />Synthetic Hydrograp h <br /> <br />Methods thus far have been discussed by which the magnitude and volume of <br />floods can be estimated for small ungaged watersheds in the Arkansas River basin <br />in Colorado. These flood characteristics can be further used to develop a com- <br />plete synthetic hydrograph as described by Commons (1942). The dimensionless <br />hydrograph developed by Commons was refined for small watersheds in Wyoming <br />by Craig (1970). This refined hydrograph, called the composite mean dimension- <br />less hydrograph, has a volume of 970 square units, a rise time of 12 time units. <br />and a time base of 70 time units, <br /> <br />The dimensionless time and discharge units of the synthetic hydrographs are <br />given in table 5, which also shows an example calculation of the synthetic hydro- <br />graph for Q25 (peak discharge, 3,950 ft's; flood volume, 285 acre-ft) on an <br />8.25 mi' basin. The equations necessary for computing the discharge and time <br />constants are giv!,!n in table 4. As shown in footnote 2 of table 4, the flow and <br />time constants for this example are calculated using these equations to be <br />65.8 ft'/s per discharge unit and 3.24 min per time unit, respectively. The <br />general shape of the resulting hydrograph, shown in figure 7, compares favorably <br />with an observed 3,300-ft'/s flood that occurred September 13, 1976, at station <br />07099250, also an 8.25-mi' basin; this flood would have a recurrence interval of <br />about 20 years. Comparisons with other observed flood hydrographs also indicat- <br />ed this technique provides satisfactory results. <br /> <br />I <br />I <br />I I <br /> <br />Accuracy and limitations <br /> <br />The statistical accuracy of the equations developed in this preliminary analy- <br />sis of the rainfall-runoff data for the Arkansas River basin is indicated by the <br />standard errors of estimate (S ) and correlation coefficients (R) shown in table 4. <br />e <br /> <br />26 <br />