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Last modified
1/26/2010 10:11:55 AM
Creation date
10/5/2006 4:52:38 AM
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Template:
Floodplain Documents
County
Statewide
Basin
Statewide
Title
Rainfall-Runoff Modelling and Preliminary Regional Flood Characteristics of Small Rural Watersheds in Arkansas River Basin - Colorado
Date
1/1/1981
Prepared For
CDOT
Prepared By
USGS
Floodplain - Doc Type
Floodplain Report/Masterplan
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<br />Flood Volume <br /> <br />As previously discussed, the rainfall-runoff model produces both peak dis- <br />charge and flood volume during the synthesis phase. A simple linear regression <br />of the volume associated with each peak discharge was completed to determine if <br />the synthetic data might yield a relation similar to that developed from the re- <br />corded data (equation 1). This analysis was accomplished using data from first <br />only the "Pueblo syntheses," then only the "Amarillo syntheses," and finally the <br />combined syntheses ("Denver syntheses" were not used as previously discussed). <br />The "Pueblo syntheses" yielded 1,044 floods ranging in peak discharge (Qp) from <br />3 to 12.900 ft3/S and flood volume (V) from 0.98 to 1,884 acre-ft. For lhe 521 <br />floods from the "Amarillo syntheses" peak discharges ranged from 5 to 15,680 <br />ft3/S and flood volumes ranged from 0.98 to 3,893 acre-ft. The following rela- <br />tion s were determi ned: <br /> <br />Pueblo data: V=0.141Qp 0.919 (5 =62, R=O.92) (4) <br /> e <br />Amarillo data: V=0.139Qp 0.964 (5 =56, R=0.93) (5) <br /> e <br />Combi ned data: V=0.123Qp 0.958 (5 =62, R=0.93) (6) <br /> e <br /> <br />Of these three equations, the relation based only on the "Pueblo syntheses" <br />(equation 4) is probably most representative of the Arkansas River basin in <br />Colorado and results in estimated flood volumes about 23 percent higher than the <br />relation based on the recorded data (equation 1). Compared with equation 1 <br />results, the equation developed from the "Amarillo syntheses" (equation 5) yields <br />volume estimates twice as great while the combined equation (equation 6) gives <br />results 30 to 60 percent greater. <br /> <br />REGIONAL FLOOD-FREQUENCY ANALYSIS <br /> <br />Very seldom is flood-frequency information required at or near a gaging <br />station where data are available for a station flood-frequency analysis. More <br />typically, particularly for small drainage basins in the arid West, data of this <br />type are required at an ungaged site. As a result, station flood-frequency <br />information is many times regionalized (areally extrapolated) for planning and <br />design purposes. For the Arkansas River basin in Colorado, examples of recent <br />regional flood-frequency analyses include Patterson (1964) and McCain and Jarrett <br />(1976). For this study the results of two regionalization methods are discussed <br />in the following sections: multiple-regression analysis with basin characteristics <br />and station-year analysis of recorded floods. <br /> <br />i . <br /> <br />Multiple-Regression Method <br /> <br />One of the most effective ways presently known for defining streamflow <br />characterisitcs on a regional basis is to relate them to basin and climatic charact- <br />eristics by use of multiple-regression techniques applied to past data (Benson and <br />Carter, 1973). Multiple-regression analysis of flood data generally includes log <br />transformation of the data and, therefore, results in an equation of the form <br /> <br />17 <br />
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