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<br />STORM CHARACTERISTICS AND RAINFALL INFORMATION <br /> <br />The summer storm that produced flooding in the Buffalo Creek area was a typical convective type <br />cloudburst event. These events are not uncommon along the foothills and plains east of the <br />Continental Divide in Colorado. Storms like this form quickly and can produce large amounts of <br />rainfall, hail, and severe weather conditions within a short amount of time. <br /> <br />At this time, only preliminary information is available describing the particular storm over Buffalo <br />Creek. The preliminary information is based on field analyses, rain gage information, and <br />interviews with witnesses and local residents. The preliminary information indicates that the storm <br />moved from west to east and then stalled right over the lower part of the Buffalo Creek watershed. <br />The most intense rainfall amounts, which fell over Buffalo Creek, are estimated to be from 2 inches <br />to 3.5 inches within 30 to 90 minutes. The storm may have covered an area between 10 and 30 <br />square miles. There is some uncertainty about the antecedent moisture conditions prior to the storm <br />event. Some evidence suggests that there may have been up to a half inch or inch of rain within a <br />few hours prior to the thunderstorm event, however there are conflicting reports from local <br />residents. It is not necessarily uncommon for Buffalo Creek to receive rainfall totaling 2 inches. <br />However, the intensity or rate of the rain for this storm (heavy rain over a very short duration) may <br />be a much less frequent event. To provide a point of reference, the average annual rainfall for the <br />foothills of southern Jefferson County is about 10 to 12 inches, and the lOO-vear, 6-hour rainfall <br />depth is reported to be about 2.5 inches according to the NOAA Atlas 2 for Colorado (National <br />Weather Service, 1973). <br /> <br />To provide a more detailed reconstruction of the storm event, all possible information is currently <br />being collected from the National Weather Service, private meteorologists, and other entities. Local <br />residents will be interviewed, and "bucket surveys" will be documented as well as possible. This <br />information will help describe the storm's track, aereal extent (where the precipitation fell), rainfall <br />and hail amounts, intensities, and other conditions. The collection and analysis of detailed <br />precipitation information is one of the most important elements in researching and reconstructing <br />this event. <br /> <br />HYDROLOGY AND HYDRAULICS <br /> <br />Peak discharges for the July 12 event for the North Fork, Buffalo Creek, Sand Draw, and other <br />tributaries were estimated by the USGS and the Colorado Water Conservation Board. The CWCB <br />obtained detailed surveyed cross-sections at one location on the North Fork, one location on Sand <br />Draw, and four locations on Buffalo Creek. The cross-section locations were carefully chosen to <br />avoid places that had unusually high amounts of sediment deposition and places that may have had <br />backwater or ponding effects from bridges or other features. High water marks and channel slopes <br />were surveyed. Discharge estimates were made using Manning's equation with the collected field <br />data. Since Manning's equation considers only clear water discharge, Manning's "n" values were <br />adjusted upward to take into account the debris and sediment that were present in the stream flows <br /> <br />c; <br />