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<br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br /> <br />4.3.2 Guidelines For Determining JOO-Year Flood Flows For Approximate Floodplains in <br />Colorado, CWCR, /999 <br /> <br />The Colorado Water Conservation Board (eWeS) has also developed regional regression <br />equations for different subregions in Colorado. The procedure for using these equations consists <br />of establishing the major drainage basin and the hydrologic subregion where the stream reach is <br />located. The corresponding regression region is then selected. the drainage area is found by <br />referencing topographic maps or published data. and the discharge is calculated from that area <br />using the appropriate equation that can be found in the ewes document. <br /> <br />4.3.3 Probability Curve Fitting Dala From Gage Stations Using the Weibull j\1ethod <br /> <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br /> <br />A statistical approach to establishing the peak flow value can be taken USing the Weibull <br />Method. Hydrological flow data is obtained from an existing source and the values are entered <br />into an Excel spreadsheet and ranked from high flow to low flow. The ranks of the flows are <br />then divided by the total years plus one (the Wiebull fonnula given below) and multiplied by tOO <br />to give a percentage. <br /> <br />Where: <br />r P = Recurrance Probability <br />p=- <br />n+t R = rank. and <br />rquat;on 2 N = total number of data records. <br />The values are plotted on a semi-log graph with flow versus the Wiebull fonnula and the X-axis <br />is reversed to created probability. A line of best fit is fixed to the values and an equation is <br />produced. The probability of a lOG-year flow is produced and entered into the equation coming <br />up with the loo-year flow. <br /> <br />4.3.4 HEC-FFA Flood Frequency Anal)'sis <br /> <br />I <br />I <br /> <br />HEC-FFA is the Army Corps of Engineers Hydrologic Engineering Center's Flood Frequency <br />Analysis computer program. This program allows existing stream flow data to be entered from <br />gauging stations or other sources. It will then calculate the peak discharges for the loo-yr flow <br /> <br />I <br />I <br /> <br />19 <br />