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1/26/2010 10:10:10 AM
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Title
Mathematical Modeling of a Sociological and Hydrologic Decision System
Date
6/1/1978
Prepared By
Institute for Social Science Research on Natural Resources, Utah State Univ.
Floodplain - Doc Type
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<br />Chapter Page <br /> <br />TABLE OF CONTENTS cont. <br /> <br />VI <br /> <br />VII <br /> <br />Vlll <br /> <br />The Basic Equations for the Social Model. . . . 60 <br />General equation. . . . . . . . . . 60 <br />Classification of terms in the general equations 60 <br />Equations in the Model. . . . . . . . . . . 62 <br />Equation I: Perception of need (or concern) for <br />flood control in a local area (CONCL). . . 63 <br />Equation II and IF statement A: decision agency <br />need. . . . . . . . . 64 <br />Agency Evaluation Equations . . . . 64 <br />Equation III: Initial evaluations. . . . . 64 <br />Construclion of agency equations . . . . 67 <br />Evaluation by the planning agency (p AEV) . 68 <br />Initial evaluation by decision agency (DAlE) 68 <br />IFstatementsBl toB3' . . . . . . . 69 <br />Equation IV: Intermedi.te evaluations 69 <br />Other agency evalu.tion (!MEV) . . . . 70 <br />Revised decision .gency evaluation (DARE). . 70 <br />Equalion VI: Final .gency evaluation (DAFE) . 70 <br />Population Evalu.lion Equation. . . . . . . . 71 <br />Equation V(.): Population evalu.tion equation. <br />continuous form . 71 <br />Single vari.ble terms . . . . . . . . . 74 <br />Inter.ction terms. . . . . . . . . . . 75 <br />Equ.tion V(b): Population evalu.tion equation. <br />categorized form. . . . . . . . 78 <br />IF statement Cl to Cs . . . . . . . 79 <br />Summary of the Gener.1 Equations of the Model 80 <br /> <br />COMPUTER MODEL OF THE SOCIAL SYSTEM. <br />Introduction.......... . <br />Outline of Computer Model . . . . <br />Interrelationship of Physical and Social Systems <br />Computer Programs. . . <br />Computer Model Input. . . . . . . <br />Computer Program Oulpul . . . . . <br /> <br />83 <br />83 <br />83 <br />83 <br />83 <br />87 <br />87 <br /> <br />SENSITIVITY AND MANAGEMENT STUDIES <br />Sensitivity Studies . . . . <br />Hydrologic Sensitivily Analyses <br />Sociologic Sensitivity An.lyses <br />Management Studies <br /> <br />93 <br />93 <br />93 <br />95 <br />96 <br /> <br />SUMMARY AND RECOMMENDATIONS <br />Summ.ry......... <br />Brief Overview of Chapters <br />The Hydrologic Model. . . <br />The Social Conceptural Model <br />Ch.racteristic of the Social Model <br />Use of the Model. . . . . . . . <br />Simulation and Sensitivity Analyses <br />Decision Analysis . . . . <br />Inclusion of Additional InpUIS <br />Recommendations . . . . . . <br />Suggested Improvements . . <br /> <br />Recommendations for Further Research <br /> <br />109 <br />109 <br />109 <br />109 <br />110 <br />III <br />112 <br />112 <br />113 <br />114 <br />115 <br />115 <br /> <br />117 <br /> <br />nt <br />
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