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<br />DAMAGE INCREASE OVER EXISTING CONDITION <br />Some of the alternative dam safety mod.ifiC:~:ltions would produce an increased <br />threat of loss of life and increased flood damages downstream for flood events <br />that are now handled safely by the present project (events less than 63 percent <br />of the PMF). The Risk - Damage Curves on figuI'iE' 2 show th.at a new left abutment <br />spillway emptying into Cherry Creek would prod\.l.ce substan1:ial downstrE~am damage <br />starting at 13 percent of the PMF; whereas, the existin,g project produces no <br />downstream damages until about 63 percent of the PMF. Alt:hough the spillway plan <br />should handle 100 percent of the PMF underexist:ing developed conditions without <br />threat of dam failure, outflow events from the spillway would produce over $1 <br />billion in downstream Cherry Creek damage starting at about 40 percent of the <br />PMF. The plans involving new spillways would increase ChE!rry Creek damages for <br />events less than the threshold flood unless 1:he spill""y crests were set at <br />5644.5. <br /> <br />Figure 3 compares damages incurred on Cherry Creek versus Sa.nd and Toll Gate <br /> <br />Creeks. Figure 3A, which is a blowup of the Sand and Toll Gate Creek damage <br /> <br /> <br />curves presented in Figure 3, compares the flood damages produced on Sand and <br /> <br />Toll Gate Creeks by outflows from the Gherry Creek Dam Spillway for the existing <br /> <br />project and for the various modification ,alternatives. Widening the existing <br /> <br />spillway (Plan ID) would increase Sand Creek and Toll Gate Greek damages over the <br /> <br /> <br />full range of spillway operation. On the other hand, Castlewood Dam (Plan SA) <br /> <br />or a new left abutment spillway (Plan 4E) would reduce overflo;ls into Sand and <br /> <br /> <br />Toll Gate Creeks for essentially all Cherry CrE!ek inflow events. Hardening the <br /> <br />dam face (Plan 6) would not alter the existing overflow <br /> <br />into Sand and Toll Gate Creeks until about 70 percent of t:he PMF, and produce a <br /> <br /> <br />slight increase at 100 percent of the l'MF. RaIsing the dam (Plan 7) would also <br /> <br /> <br />not alter the existing overflow into Sand and Toll Gate Greeks until about 70 <br /> <br />percent of the Cherry Creek PMF inflow, but would increase overflows into Sand <br /> <br /> <br />and Toll Gate Creeks for events beyond 70 percent of the PMF, the increase <br /> <br /> <br />depending on the amount of dam raise. <br /> <br />67 <br />