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<br />River for the "with fai1ure" conditions is shown on p1at.es 21 through 24. The <br /> <br />spillway flow is basically confined to the S,md and Toll Gate Creek channels. <br /> <br /> <br />However, the dam failure flows down Cherry Creek inundate a lllrge area outside <br /> <br />the confines of the channel and would cau.se c:.Eltastrophic losses. These losses <br /> <br />are discussed in detail in the economic portion of this report. <br /> <br />PROBABLE MAXIMUM FLOOD ROUTING <br /> <br />When the full PMF, with a peak discharge of 662,700 c. f. s, and a total <br /> <br /> <br />volume of 359,200 acre.feet was routed through Cherry Creek Reservoir assuming <br /> <br />the dam did not fail, the embankment crest at: elevation 56l.4. 5 was overtopped for <br /> <br />7,5 hours with a maximum depth of 4,2 feet, The depth of overtopping "'as greater <br /> <br />t:han 1 foot for 5,25 hours, The inflow hydro graph , pool elevation, and outflow <br /> <br />hydro graph for both the spillway and overtopping flows are shown on plate 25. <br /> <br />The overtopping hydrograph, with a peak discharge of 35/,,300 c. f, s., was routed <br /> <br /> <br />down Cherry Creek and the South Platte River using the lIarders routing model, <br /> <br /> <br />The peak discharge, peak elevation. arrival time, and pealking time are shown in <br /> <br />table 7. The spillway outflow hydro graph , 'wi t:h a peak discharge of 56,300 <br /> <br /> <br />c, f, s " was routed down Sand and Toll Gate Creeks and the results are also <br /> <br />displayed in table 7, <br /> <br />DAMBRK was used to determine the outflow hydro graph when the full PMF was <br /> <br /> <br />routed through Cherry Creek Reservoir assuming the dam would fail, The breach <br /> <br /> <br />parameters described previously were used for this analysis. The dam was assumed <br /> <br /> <br />to fail when the flow over the top of the dam was l/2-foot deep, elevation 5645.0 <br /> <br /> <br />feet m.s.l. Failure of Cherry Creek Dam under these assumptions would produce <br /> <br /> <br />a ravaging flood in the valley below the dam, The peak outflow would be <br /> <br />approximately 2,0 million c. f, s, The peak spillway outflo'. would be about 53,100 <br /> <br /> <br />c. f. s. The outflow hydrographs were reouted down both Sand and Toll Gate Creeks <br /> <br /> <br />and Cherry Creek and the South Platte River. Table 7 shows the results of the <br /> <br />routings for comparison to the "without fai.lure" flood routings. "Without <br /> <br />failure" assumes the dam does not fail although overtopped by 4,2 feet, which is <br /> <br />unlikely. The flood outlines for Ilwith" and I1without failure" conditions are <br /> <br /> <br />shown on plates 26 through 28, With dam failure, peak elevations would be as <br /> <br /> <br />much as 18 to 27 feet higher than without dam failure. <br /> <br />27 <br />