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<br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br /> <br />B-3 <br /> <br /> <br />6. Ability to discharge based on status of other <br />reservoirs (Willow Creek, Williams Fork, Green <br />Mountain) and natural flood flows occurring be- <br />tween Granby and Gore Canyon. <br />7. Irrigation diversions between Phase 2 and Granby <br />Dam. <br /> <br />B. <br /> <br />AVAILABLE DATA <br /> <br />Available data for estimating flood flows are as <br />follows: <br /> <br />1. River flow stream gauge records, "YMCA" gauge <br />located just downstream from Phase 2. The years of <br />record are 1908-1911, 1933-53, and 1961-Present <br />(May-September only). Granby Reservoir was closed <br />in 1949. <br /> <br />2. USBR records for 1983 & 1984 of reservoir depth, <br />inflows, discharges, etc. <br /> <br />3. USBR operating plan for dealing with flood inflows. <br /> <br />4. USBR summary of probable maximum flood flow calcula- <br />tions. <br /> <br />5. USBR reservoir information for gate discharge <br />curves, storage vs. elevation, etc. <br /> <br />6. Field observation during 1983 & 1984 of water depth <br />in the Phase 2 vicinity at times of high flow. <br /> <br />C. <br /> <br />DISCUSSION OF VARIABLES <br /> <br />1. Natural snow melt flows: <br /> <br />The data base of the YMCA gauge for the years prior <br />to 1949 provide a reasonable base from which to <br />project peak "natural" flows into Granby Reservoir. <br />For simplicity, it is assumed that the peak flows <br />projected are essentially snow melt related and are <br />referred to hereinafter as the "snow melt" flows. <br />HRS Water Consultants, Inc. projected the various <br />return frequency flows using the Log Pearson Type <br />III and Gumbel Extreme Value Methods. A copy of <br />their report is attached. The peak flows are sum- <br />marized as follows: <br /> <br />LOG PEARSON <br /> <br />GUMBEL EXTREME VALUE <br /> <br />100yr <br />50yr <br />20yr <br />10yr <br /> <br />4380cfs <br />4064 <br />3734 <br />3272 <br /> <br />4650cfs <br />4230 <br />3700 <br />3200 <br />