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<br />FUTURE FLOonS <br /> <br />dC0ree of accuracy. Peak discharges for the Standard Project Flood at <br />selected locations are also shown in table 7. <br /> <br />Floods of the same or larger magnitude as those that have <br />occurred in the 'last could occur in the future. To de~~rmine the flood <br />potential of the study area, two floods, the Intermediate Regional Flood <br />(IPF) and the Standard Project Flood (SPF) were analyzed and the results <br />are presented in this report as a means of demonstratinn the effects of <br />larne floods To Illust t th t I fl <br />. . ra e a aroe oods I ike these can haopen, con- <br />sider the Denver area floods of 1965 and the Rapid City, South Dakota <br />flood of June 1972. The mannitude of these floods at various locations <br />was comparable to that of an SPF. <br /> <br />Table 7 <br />Potential Flood Peak Dischar'JAS <br />for the Cache la Poudre River <br />in the Fort Coil Ins to Greeley vicinity <br /> <br />Location <br /> <br />Upstream Um it <br /> <br />Upstream from Roxe I der Creek <br /> <br />Downstream from Boxelder Creek <br /> <br />Upstroa", from Con so I idated <br />Law Ditch <br /> <br />Oownstreilm f rom Canso I i dated <br />Lmf Ditch <br /> <br />Downstreilm Limit <br /> <br />I NTERr.1ED I ATE REG I ONA L FLOOD <br />The Intermediate Regional Flood Is defined as one that occurs <br />with an averaqe freouency of occurrence of about once in 100 years, al- <br />thouqh it could occur ISh <br />''1 any year. uc a flood is a relatively laroe <br />one and is used to define the flood olain for reoulatory <br />purposes. The <br />peak flows of this flood were develoned from statistical analyses of Cache <br />la Poudre River stream flow records at the U.S.G.S. stream ganes located <br />near Fort Col I ins and Greeley, Colorado, usinq routino techniques in <br />conjunction with regional analyses to define flows between oaoes. Peak <br />flows thus developed for the Intermediate Renional Flood at selected <br />locations in the study reach are shown in table 7. <br /> <br />IRF Discharoo <br />c. f.s. <br /> <br />17,50cr!f <br /> <br />16,61)0 <br /> <br />28,500 <br /> <br />SPF Di scharqe <br />c.f. s. <br /> <br />4I,f]I)J! <br /> <br />30,21)0 <br /> <br />75,200 <br /> <br />6,600 <br /> <br />22,lon <br /> <br />11,(1)') <br />9,000 <br /> <br />37,000 <br />26,400 <br /> <br />1/ The discharge values shown at the location of the downstrea", li",it <br />of the study reach in table 4 of Volume I arc incorrect. The correct <br />values are as shown in the above table and represent the actual values <br />used in the hydraulic computations of both the Volume I and the Volume ill <br /> <br />The frequency of recurrence of a certain size flood, or the <br /> <br /> <br />probability of its happenin~, can be illustrated with known flow nata. <br /> <br /> <br />The flood of June 1965, with a peak discharge of 3,4RO cubic feet oer <br /> <br /> <br />second at the ll. S.G. S. stream 0aqe near Gree I ey wou I d occur on the average <br /> <br /> <br />once every I I years. The average annual peak discharge at the qage is <br /> <br /> <br />813 cubic feet per second. As can bo seen from tables 5, 6, and :, dis- <br /> <br /> <br />charges smaller than either .the Intermediate Regional Flood or thn Standard <br /> <br /> <br />Project Flood are much more common. Ibwever, floods even larger than tho <br /> <br /> <br />Standard Project Flood could occur hut conditions necessary to hring about <br /> <br /> <br />such an event are extremely rarn. Ice conditions can create severe <br /> <br /> <br />flood cunditions with relatively I ittle discharge. <br /> <br />n~ports. <br /> <br />STANDARD PROJECT FLOnn <br />The Standard Project Flood is defined as a major flood which <br />can be expected to occur from a severe co",bination of meteorological and <br />hydrological conditions that are reasonably characteristic of the geo- <br />graphical area in which the study area is located, excluding extremely <br />rare events. Storms that would produce this flood are uncommon, and <br />it is difficult to assign frequencies of occurrence with any reasonable <br /> <br />FHEQUCt!CY <br /> <br />25 <br /> <br />20 <br />