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Last modified
1/26/2010 10:08:57 AM
Creation date
10/5/2006 4:14:13 AM
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Floodplain Documents
County
Statewide
Community
State of Colorado
Basin
Statewide
Title
Generalized Estimates of Probable Maximum Precipitation for the United States West of the 105th Meridian
Date
1/1/1960
Prepared For
USDA
Prepared By
US Weather Bureau
Floodplain - Doc Type
Educational/Technical/Reference Information
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<br />H <br /> <br />TRAJECTORIES;; - .,.. <br />~ SNOWFLAKES ,\NO RAINDROPS' 'S6 <br />" <br /> <br /> <br />e <br /> <br />" <br />\ <br /> <br />, <br /> <br />--~ <br /> <br />FIGURE 2-3.-8chematic illustration of spill-over. <br /> <br />liquid or solid. In addition, as snow formed at <br />hig-h altitudes, melted, and turned into rain, there <br />would be a zone in which the trajectories would <br />have a rather sharp change in shape. FaIling <br />rates of raindrops are fairly well known, and while <br />little is known about those of snowflakes, they are <br />undoubtedly much less. The actual wind flow <br />over the usual orographic !:mrrier would not be <br />anywhere near as smooth or uniform as that de- <br />picted in figure 2-3. An actual profile across the <br />Sierra Nevada (fig. 2--4) gives a good indication <br />of the degree of generalization inherent in com- <br />putations of orographic precipitation based ou <br />simplified wind-flow patterns. <br />2.3.10 The extreme distance for spill-over of <br />heavy rainfall in the Sierra Nevada from 01'0- <br />g-raphic effects alone is estimated to be roughly 10 <br />miles. The storm precipitation distribution across <br />a barrier has never been measured accurately, but <br />it probably varies widely from storm to storm, <br />particularly for short durations and small areas. <br />2.3,ll In an attempt to determine the oro- <br />graphic effects on precipitation rates, the maxi- <br />mum observed clock-hour and 24-hr. precipitation <br />for stations on the western slopes of the Sierra <br />Nevada in California were plotted against the <br />station elevation (figs. 2-5 and it-6, respectively). <br />The data. are from recording-gage stations having <br />at least 8 years of record between 1940 and 1951. <br />Fig-ure 2-5 shows that, within the range of ob- <br />served data, maximum clock-hour precipitation is <br />very poorly related to elevation. In other words, <br /> <br />..000 <br />, <br /> <br />, <br />~ 8000 <br /> <br /> <br />-1 <br /> <br />, <br />~ 6000 <br /> <br />,~ <br /> <br />0, <br /> <br />60 00 100 <br />DISTA'<C' F"OM SAW J04<lU,N RIV'R IMIUSl <br /> <br />,~ <br /> <br />FIGURE 2-4.-Topographic profile across Sierra Nevada <br />from 36049' X., 120022' W. to 38022' N., 118015' W. <br /> <br />the plot suggests that it can rain as hard for one <br />hour at a low elevation as it can at a high eleva- <br />tion. Figure 2-6, on the other hand, shows a <br />slight tendency for maximum observed 24-hr. pre- <br />eipitation to be higher at the higher elevations, <br />although the eorrelation is admittedly poor. A <br />similar plot (fig. 2-7) of maximum observed ob- <br />servational-day precipitation for Colorado sta- <br />tions west. of the Continental Divide also shows a <br />slight tendeney for higher values at higher eleva- <br />tions. Here again, however, the correlation is <br />poor. <br />2.3.12 Comparison of figures 2-6 and 2-7, <br />which are for regions of eomparable orography, <br />reveals that the latter shows mueh lower preeipita- <br />tion values level-for-Ievel than does the former. <br />Obviously, other factors besides elevation and <br />slope affect preeipitation rates. The various fae- <br />tors governing availability of moisture were dis- <br />eussed in section 2.2. Distance from a moisture <br />source was one of the factors mentioned. How- <br />ever, reduetion of atmospheric water vapor with <br />distance from the moisture source, as observed in <br />the Plains Region, for example, is much too <br />gradual to account for more than a small part of <br />the difference between California and Colorado <br />storm preeipitation indicated by figures 2-6 and <br />2-7. Neither eould the difference be eXplained on <br />the basis of latitudinal or seasonal variations in <br />atmospherie water-vapor eontent. Current <br />kuowledge of storm meteorology is admittedly <br />limited, but what little is known suggests no great <br />differenee in the preeipitation-producing e/lieieney <br />of storms in these two regions. <br />2.3.13 It would appear from the preeeding <br />paragraph that there is no known explanation for <br /> <br />9 <br />
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