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<br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br /> <br />, <br /> <br />9.0 Summary <br /> <br />Stagecoach dam was assumed to fail "in the dry" with <br />the water at the elevation of the spillway crest. The <br />dam failure flood would then travel approximately six <br />miles downstream into Lake Catamount which is assumed <br />to be full to the elevation of its two spillways. <br />These spillways will begin to flow as soon as the flood <br />wave arrives at the upstream end of Lake Catamount. <br />When the water level in Lake Catamount reaches the top <br />of the dam, the embankment was assumed to fail. At the <br />same time, water will also begin to flow over the top <br />of the dam. <br /> <br />The above scenario is an extremely remote event and <br />this analysis is not intended to reflect upon the <br />integrity of Stagecoach dam or Lake Catamount dam. <br /> <br />The resultant flood was routed through the Yampa <br />River valley for a distance of approximately 115 miles <br />through Routt and Moffat Counties. A total of 16 <br />valley cross sections were used in the analysis. <br /> <br />The dam failure floodplain was drawn on USGS quad <br />maps using flood depths from two dam failure computer <br />models recognized in Colorado. These are the methods <br />developed by the Colorado Division of Water Resources <br />(DWR) , also known as the State Engineer, and the <br />National Weather Service (NWS). <br /> <br />The results of the two models varied greatly both <br />in peak discharge, flood depths, and travel times. The <br />differences in flood depth may be attributed to the <br />difference in the way of representing the cross <br />section. The DWR model is based ona trapezoidal <br />cross section and the NWS model fits a mathematical <br />curve through hypothetical coordinates. With this <br />difference in mind, engineering judgement was used to <br />arrive at a flood depth for mapping. The mapped depth <br />is the vertical distance above the low flow shown in <br />the channel on the USGS quad maps. <br /> <br />The travel times shown in Table 8 recommended for <br />use in emergency action planning are based on the NWS <br />model. The average speed of the flood downstream from <br />Steamboat Springs decreases from about 5.4 miles per <br />hour at Milner to about 4.8 miles per hour at Craig. <br />The approximate travel times are starting from the time <br />of failure of Stagecoach Dam. <br /> <br />2-9 <br />