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<br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br /> <br />III. Future Floods <br /> <br />A. DESCRIPTION AND METHOD, <br /> <br />As required, the flood used for analysis in this study is one <br />which would occur on an average of once each 100 years, or which might <br />have a probability of occurance of one percent in any given year. This <br />is referred to as the "100 year flood." <br /> <br />Two primary methods of investigation were made. The first of <br />these is the USDA-SCS synthetic hydro graph method as described by their <br />references in a later section. The second is a method based on historic <br />records of the region as analyzed by the US Geological Survey. A com- <br />plicating factor is the 37 flood control reservoirs installed by the SCS <br />above Elbert.which control the runoff of60 percent of the basin area. <br /> <br />The effects of these flood control measures were carefully analyzed <br />on five typical structures for which complete data was available. The <br />results show that these structures provide significant benefit on floods <br />of a relatively small magnitude. However, on the 100 year flood their <br />benefit is not as grea,t as might be anticipated, although there is not <br />felt to be any danger of the failure of these structures which would <br />create a hazard downstream. <br /> <br />A substantial amount of technical information was processed in <br />this studj, and will not be ,presented in detail herein. The following is <br />a summary of the 100 year design runoff at Elbert. <br /> <br />TABLE 4 - Projected 100 Year Runoff At Elbert. <br /> <br />DRAINAGE DRAINAGE AREA 100 YEAR STORM RUNOFF <br /> Square Miles Cubic Feet Per Second <br />West Kiowa Creek 35.99 13,400 <br />East Kiowa Creek 28.78 10,900 <br />Kiowa Creele at Elbert 64.77 17,300 <br /> <br />It may be noticed that these runoffs are well below those recorded <br />in 1965 and computed in 1935. Having two such storms in the previous 40 <br />years would cast some logical doubt on the accuracy of such a projection <br />for a 100 year storm. A regional analysis - considering the entire area - <br />puts this into persptective, and it can be said again that Kiowa Creele <br />has received far more than its fair share of substantial rainfall. <br /> <br />B. Flood Plain Description <br /> <br />The limits of the flood plain are shown on the three sheets of <br />plate 2 in the appendix. The creele was divided by numerous "cross-sections" <br />at critical locations along its length., The floodwaters are generally <br /> <br />.," <br /> <br />8 <br />