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<br />-9- <br /> <br />the hydrologic regime, but detection of such changes would require de- <br />tailed, closely-spaced meteorological data which do not exist. There- <br />fore, climatic trends cannot be incorporated as a predictive factor in <br /> <br />a model relating urbanization and changes in flood expectancy. Moreover, <br /> <br />inclusion would have little usefulness since future climatic fluctuations <br />cannot be estimated reliably. <br />The study area is located in southeastern New England as shown in <br />Figure 2. The terrain of this region is distinctly glacial in origin. <br />The western part is characterized by gently rolling, till-mantled hills <br />with intervening ponds, swamps and stream valleys underlain by glacial <br />sand and gravel. The eastern portions are generally flatter and consist <br /> <br /> <br />of extensive outwash plains, wetland areas and scattered hills of till, <br /> <br /> <br />bedrock or ice-contact glacial deposits. Owing to the humid climate, <br /> <br /> <br />streams tend to be permanent and flow in deep, well-established channels. <br /> <br /> <br />Twenty-six gaging sites were originally selected from all available sites <br /> <br /> <br />in the region on the basis of the length of hydrologic records. Flood <br /> <br /> <br />frequency relations were appraised for these watersheds and informally <br />related to the historical pattern of urban growth. Eighteen of the ori- <br />ginal 26 watersheds were then identified as being suitable for model <br />development on the basis of more detailed hydrologic information. The <br />remaining eight were disqualified for several reasons including excessive <br />regulation of streamflow, indications of major diversions during peak <br />discharge, a drainage area larger than 500 square miles which was judged <br />to be impractical and might produce a non-homogeneous sample, and finally <br />redundancy of hydrologic information in the case of one watershed being <br />a subdrainage of another. Since two of these criteria are a matter of <br /> <br />degree, it is clear that the study watersheds are only relatively natural <br />