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Last modified
1/25/2010 7:14:16 PM
Creation date
10/5/2006 3:32:11 AM
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Template:
Floodplain Documents
County
Statewide
Community
State of Colorado
Basin
Statewide
Title
Probable Maximum Precipitation Estimates, United States Between the Continental Divide and the 103rd Meridian
Date
6/1/1988
Prepared By
COE
Floodplain - Doc Type
Educational/Technical/Reference Information
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<br />Table 2.2--Stoms important to determination of PMP for tbe CD-I OJ region <br /> (continued) <br />Storm Lat. Lon~. Elev.# 1000 mi 2 10 mi2 <br />Number Name Date (0) (') (0) (') (ft) 24 hr 6 hr <br /> 76. Plum Creek, CO 6/13-20/65 39 05 104 20 6700 9.5 11.5 <br /> 114. Glen UIlin, ND 6/24/66 47 21 101 19 2000 11.1 <br /> 77. Big Elk Meadow, CO 5/4-8/69 40 16 105 25 8000 5.5 4.0 <br /> 78. Rapid City, SD 6/9/72 44 12 103 31 4800 <br /> 79. Broomfield, CO 5/5-6/73 39 55 105 06 5700 4.7 2.9 <br /> 81. Big Thompson, CO 7/31-8/1/76 40 25 105 26 8300 B <br /> 82. White Sands, NM 8/19/78 32 47 106 11 4600 B <br /> 116. Medina, TX 8/1-4/78 29 55 99 21 1800 15.0 17.0 <br /># Elevation is from smoothed barrier/effective elevation analysis. <br /> "B" indicates barrier elevation. <br />* Local storm elevation to nearest 100 ft. <br /> <br />was then pulled counterclockwise around the two low centers and westward into <br />North Dakota and Montana. As the warm air moved northward, northwestward, and <br />then westward around the Lows, it was forced over the cooler air mass already <br />present in the region north of the low centers. This forced lifting of the warm <br />moist air resulted in precipitation starting on June 6 in Nortl1 Dakota and <br />Montana. <br /> <br />During the next 24 hr, the two low centers appeared to merge and deepen and the <br />storm increased in intensity. The single low center remained almost stationary <br />over western North Dakota, occluding as the cold front continued its eastward <br />movement into Wisconsin, Illinois, and Missouri. The intensity of the Low caused <br />high winds and strong convergence, as well as heavy precipitation over the <br />region. During this time, winds at several locations in Montana and North Dakota <br />exceeded 40 mph and rainfall at Warrick, MT reached its greatest intensity. Air <br />flow was from the northeast to the northwest in the vicinity of the rainfall <br />center during the time ,of maximum rain. <br /> <br />By the morning of June 8, the Low began to weaken and started drifting toward <br />the northeast, which brought a dry northwesterly flow from Canada into Montana. <br />The cold front continued its eastward movement, resulting in an occluded front <br />that stretched into east central Canada. Showers occurred along this front. <br />Rainfall in Montana generally ceased by late morning of the 8th. <br /> <br />The isohyetal map for the storm is given in figure 2.3. This map shows that <br />rain fell primarily in the plains areas of eastern and northern Montana. <br />However, the maximum rainfall occurred at Warrick and fell around an isolated <br />orographic feature, the Bear Paw Mountains. These mountains rise about 1,500 ft <br />above the surrounding terrain. Although rainfall was significant (greater than <br />2 in.) throughout northeastern Montana, the rainfall at Warrick greatly exceeded <br />other recorded amounts. This suggests that the Warrick center was a result of a <br />local orographic influence upon thunderstorms embedded within the general-storm <br />rainfall. This suggestion is reinforced by a rapid decrease in rainfall amounts <br /> <br />19 <br />
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