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1/25/2010 7:14:16 PM
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10/5/2006 3:32:11 AM
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Floodplain Documents
County
Statewide
Community
State of Colorado
Basin
Statewide
Title
Probable Maximum Precipitation Estimates, United States Between the Continental Divide and the 103rd Meridian
Date
6/1/1988
Prepared By
COE
Floodplain - Doc Type
Educational/Technical/Reference Information
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<br />isohyetal analysis, evaluation of terrain, and evaluation <br />factors to estimate the relative contribution of atmospheric <br />influences on precipitation in individual storms. <br /> <br />of meteorological <br />forces and terrain <br /> <br />The traditional approach to developing PMP estimates is to maximize observed <br />precipitation amounts for moisture and transpose these maximized values to other <br />locations. The traditional approach to moisture maximization and transposition, <br />as well as some modifications to these procedures, are discussed in chapter 8. <br />Several different approaches were examined, each of which has advantages and <br />disadvantages. These approaches were developed to extend the usefulness of the <br />maximization and transposition procedure in orographic regions. <br /> <br />The basic procedure provides estimates of the amount of precipi tat ion that <br />results from free atmospheric forcing effects. These amounts were transposed <br />throughout the CD-103 region. The amount of intensification that would occur at <br />various locations as the result of terrain lifting was then estimated. The <br />method of evaluatinp; this orographic contribution and how it should be used to <br />modify the convergence PMP is the subject of chapter 9. <br /> <br />An explanation of the development of the general-storm PMP index maps is given <br />in chapter 10. Primary focus was given to 24-hr 10-mi2 precipitation amounts, <br />since station daily rainfall observations are most plentiful and modified <br />transposition techniques can be developed with the greatest reliability for such <br />small arefs. Estimates were also developed for 1-, 6-, and 72-hr durations for <br />the 10-mi area. <br /> <br />To provide estimates for the range of area sizes and durations needed for this <br />report, depth-area and depth-duration relations are required. Development of the <br />depth-area relations is discussed in chapter 11. These proc'2dures provide PMP <br />estimates for 1, 6, 24, and 72 hr for area sizes to 20,000 mi in nonorographic <br />portions and 5,000 mi2 in the orographic portions. These can be used to prepare <br />depth-duration curves for any area size within the limits of the report. <br /> <br />The intermountain region between a generalized crestline of the Sierra Nevada <br />and Cascade Mountains and the Continental Divide is relatively isolated from <br />major moisture sources. Large precipitation amounts for very small areas and <br />short durations in this region do not result from general storms. Within this <br />region a local convective event, isolated in time and space, produces the maximum <br />precipitation amount for these short durations and small areas. Chapter 12 <br />discusses the development of the local-storm criteria. <br /> <br />The consistency and reliability of PMP estimates for various durations and area <br />sizes are discussed in chapter 13. General comparisons are made with previous <br />individual drainage estimates and generalized estimates within the region <br />previously prepared by NWS. Comparisons are made with some major storm rainfall <br />amounts. A final comparison is made with 100-yr return period values from NOAA <br />Atlas 2 (Miller et al. 1973). <br /> <br />Chapter 14 focuses on the procedures for <br />drainages. This chapter summarizes procedures <br />earlier chapters of the report. <br /> <br />computinp; PMP for specific <br />developed and discussed in the <br /> <br />Chapter 15 provides some concluding remarks and suggestions for <br />studies. Particular attention is focused on studies which are needed to <br /> <br />the usefulness of the estimates developed in this and other PMP reports. <br /> <br />future <br />enhance <br /> <br />10 <br />
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