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Last modified
1/25/2010 7:14:16 PM
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Floodplain Documents
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Statewide
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State of Colorado
Basin
Statewide
Title
Probable Maximum Precipitation Estimates, United States Between the Continental Divide and the 103rd Meridian
Date
6/1/1988
Prepared By
COE
Floodplain - Doc Type
Educational/Technical/Reference Information
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<br />1.6 Terrain Review <br /> <br />The region between the Continental Divide and the 103rd meridian is topograph- <br />ically one of the most complex regions in the conterminous United States. It is <br />a region of steep slopes, narrow enclosed valleys, and open plains. To gain a <br />greater understanding of this complex reg-ion, several of the study participants <br />undertook an aerial reconnaissance of the entire region. Of particular <br />importance was the topography at the locations of some of the more significant <br />rainstorms that have occurred within the region: Gibson Dam, Warrick and <br />Springbrook, MT; Savage ton, WY; Big Thompson, Cherry Creek, Plum Creek, and <br />Penrose, CO; and McColleum Ranch, NM. This aerial survey took place on three <br />separate flights, and was conducted approximately 2,000-4,000 ft above the <br />terrain. Figure 1.2 shows a schematic of the flight paths. A photographic <br />record was made during these overflights. These photographs were referred to <br />during early stages of the study to aid in understanding relative terrain <br />influence. <br /> <br />1.7 Previous PMP Estimates for the CD-I03 Region <br /> <br />The PMP values for this study are termed generalized or comprehensive <br />estimates. By this it is meant isolines of PMP are g-iven on index maps and <br />depth-area relations are provided allowing determination of average storm- <br />centered PMP for any drainage within the region. The present study has combined <br />the latest storm data and current knowledge of the precipitation process to <br />develop these estimates of PMP. Results from Weather Bureau Teclmical Paper <br />No. 38 (U.S. Weather Bureau 1960), for the region between the Continental Divide <br />and the 105th meridian, and HMR No. 51, for the reg-ion between the 105th and <br />103rd meridians, have been superseded by the present study. <br /> <br />Through the years, the Hydrometeorological Branch has provided PMP estimates <br />for particular basins often referred to as individual drainage estimates. These <br />estimates were provided if generalized PMP studies were not available, or if <br />available generalized PMP estimates did not provide estimates for area sizes as <br />large as tbe drainage under investigation. Of the more recent individual studies <br />in the region considered in this report, only the one for the South Platte River, <br />Hydrometeorological Report No. 44, "Probable Maximum Precipitation over South <br />Platte River, Colorado, and Minnesota River, Minnesota (Riedel et al. 1969) has <br />been published. In some situations, because of basin shape, unusual orographic <br />considerations, areal or spatial distribution developed for the individual basin <br />specific estimate, or other factors, the individual drainage estimate may take <br />precedence. However, the applicability of the individual drainage estimate must <br />be carefully evaluated on a case-by-case basis by a qualified hydrometeorologist, <br />as the need arises. <br /> <br />1.8 Application of HMR No. 52 to PMP frOlll this Study <br /> <br />Hydrometeorological Report No. 52, "Application of Probahle Maximum <br />Precipitation Estimates - United States East of the 105th Meridian" (HMR No. 52) <br />(Hansen et a1. 1982), was completed as an aid .... .in adapUng- or applying PMP <br />estimates from HMR No. 51 to a specific drainage." The procedures in HMR No. 52 <br />are intended for application to nonorog-raphic generalized PMP estimates and were <br />done essentially independent of the base level PMP analyses. The present CD-l03 <br />study has introduced new delineations that limit the extent of nonorographic PMP <br />within the 1030-1050 region. This delineation is represented by the orog-raphic <br /> <br />7 <br />
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