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<br />Ii <br />I <br />II <br />II <br />I <br />III <br />I <br /> <br />III <br />I <br />I <br />Ii <br />I' <br />Ii <br />Ii <br />I] <br />11 <br />Ii <br />IJ <br />II <br />II <br />II <br /> <br />The flood hydrographs for the subbasins were routed and combined at vari- <br />ous flow concentration points. Routing was performed by the Muskingum method. <br />The Muskingum parameters were estimated based on mean flow velocities of 5 to <br />10 ft/sec. These velocities were estimated using assumed channel sections and <br />the Manning equation. In general, channels in the upper watershed had veloci- <br />ties of about 5 ft/sec, and main channels in the lower end had velocities of <br />about 10 ft/sec. The sensitivity of the Muskingum parameters was evaluated. <br /> <br />MODEL RESULTS <br /> <br />The results of the HEC-l model for various sets of input are shown in <br />Table 4. The peak discharge, time to peak, and runoff volume for two concen- <br />tration points are shown; Boulder Creek near the Orodell gaging station and <br />Boulder Creek at the canyon mouth. HEC-l model number BC2B is judged to be <br />the best model of the watershed based on a comparison of the 100-year flood <br />discharge from the model to other accepted results (discussed below). <br /> <br />FLOOD FREQUENCY ANALYSIS <br /> <br />The results of the model were compared against flood frequency estimates <br />based on stream gage records. Two gaging stations in the watershed are avail- <br />able for flood frequency analysis; Boulder creek near Boulder and Boulder <br />Creek near Orodell. The data are shown in Appendix B. Graphical flood <br /> <br />frequency analyses were performed using normal, log-normal, extreme value, and <br />log-extreme value probability papers. The Cunnane plotting position was used <br />for all distributions. The Orodell record is more reliable because of the <br />longer length of record. The data fits the log-normal distribution better <br />than the other distributions, and the graphical analyses are shown in Appendix <br />B. <br /> <br />The flood frequency estimates at Orodell are: <br /> 100-year = 1,690 cfs <br /> 50-year = 1,490 cfs <br /> 10-year = 1,050 cfs <br /> <br />4 <br />