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<br />I' <br />I <br />I <br />I: <br />II <br />Ii <br />I' <br />I; <br />I: <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I: <br />I: <br />I' <br />I] <br />Ii <br />Ii <br />Ii <br /> <br />The Corps hydrograph has a longer tail which is probably attributed to the <br />fact that the Corps included the upper part of the basin in the watershed <br />model. The times to peak do not coincide, but this is probably due to the <br />differences in the rainfall distributions that were used in the two studies. <br /> <br />As a result of these favorable comparisons, the model as presented, is <br />judged to be an acceptable representation of the rainfall-runoff process in <br />the watershed. The model input is summarized below: <br />Rainfall - as per UDFCD Drainage Manual <br />Rainfall Losses - Green and Ampt infiltration equation with a <br />surface retention loss <br />Unit hydrograph - Buckhorn Creek S-graph <br />Muskingum Routing - mean velocity of 5 to 10 ft/sec. <br /> <br />FLASH FLOOD PREDICTION GRAPH <br /> <br />The final model configuration was used to generate flood peak discharges <br />for various rainfalls. This was performed by running the model with the <br />100-year rainfall mUltiplied by ratios from 50 percent to 200 percent. All <br />four assumptions of antecedent soil moisture were used. The results are shown <br />in Table 5. The maximum rainfalls for 6-hours, 1-hour, and 20-minutes are <br />also shown in Table 5. <br /> <br />The results from Table 5 are plotted in ,Figure 4. Peak discharge at the <br />mouth of the canyon can be predicted as a function of the maximum 1-hour <br />rainfall, averaged over a 10 square mile portion of the watershed, by using <br />Figure 4. An estimate of the antecedent soil moisture is required. Season of <br />the year can be used if an estimate of the antecedent soil moisture is not <br />available. <br /> <br />v <br />"" <br /> <br /><'o..,~ <br />Vi""'" <br />HISTORICAL STORM RECONSTITUTION AND TRANsPOSITION <br /> <br />The historical rainfall derived for this study is based on the reconsti- <br />tution and transposition of three significant storm episodes into the Boulder <br />Creek watershed: the Big Thompson flash flood of 31 July 1976; the Cheyenne, <br />Wyoming flash flood of I August 1985; and the Masonville, Colorado flash flood <br /> <br />7 <br />