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<br /> <br />II. Location ~ areal di~tribution of J2. .~cinitation for ~ <br />~-yoa,I' cvent <br /> <br />A. Location <br /> <br />lleteorolo;:;ical studie~ hove ~~Olm us that in <br />:r.ountoinou:: Dreas elevated reGiol:; are favored for <br />the oriGinction of convection. :'.so, such studies <br />have ::il01ffi t~l:J.t re~ion3 of 10H lc. ,el co nvercence are <br />also favored reGionn. nlose two :actors can both be <br />combined in 0 reGion :llonG tho Cc:tinontal Divide in <br />the sout!lCr::1 end of the 1:llue Rive> msin. Three ele- <br />vated rer:ions in t:.'1e southern ba~: n er.d exist: the <br />Red J.;ountain-SiIverheeIs H)untail com"lex, the fuld <br />liluntain- ibreas Lountain com~lex, and the Glaci er <br />l~untain-Red Cone co"~le7.. The l:w level convercence <br />zono formeQ bv floH U"O the m-/-SE llue River Valle': <br />C-'1a flol-1 up t:le South' Par~ reGior, (channeled b:! tho <br />3:mGre de Grin to TIa::[;e) en ~ts al 'ne tno Continaltol <br />Divide. ':-~o of the t'1ree elevate re~o::1S ore 3UO- <br />ject to tele l'ull force of the con ,-e:'cence zone; the <br />~ed Lt.-Silver!lCcls Lt. cOl1l!'lex, c:ld the Enld I;t.- <br />Ex:>rca~ ~~t. con~.lex. <br />It is therefore l"lO~t li!:ely t' cot over the!;c <br />COl'1plcJ:es t~lO convective activit:!' ,fill be concentl'~- <br />tc~. Cne C~~ vi3uolize t:1.st the ',ncic.c:lt sol~ ::-a- <br />~':';:t.:..on on t~::.J elc-,,-atecl areas t-:2.1~:. c.ct 2.C :) t:,i,---:-~~ <br />to ::et ofr co nvcctiol1 or.d thereby orC:J:li::e t:le ~c::;o- <br />~~:lle :"'10":,;. .:,;uch D process, once i:.1itiatec., C~"'1 C:):-..- <br />t::J:t:e c con$ic.1e!'D.ble len..:;tl1 of ti~~e. Tile ~""pro;:ir~:..te <br />loc~-::;::':-11 o~ the c~n..;ecti v-a cente!';~ ca.n oe detc~lr:i::cc::. <br />~~! D~'):::-ro=:inDt~_110 t~le eleVDted 9re;': centers :!~ t~~ <br />ros:,cct t.o t,':e 1":oan nOli al1d cene:'al convel'[;cacc :::,:;t- <br />t~rn. <br /> <br />'. B. ..:~..rcal di::trl but:: on <br /> <br />nle <1!'cal Q!;tribution of' rai:' f'rom cunulou!; <br />clouc'':: ~1O,:: oe:!ll "'101m to be somell: ,at lar;::er t:lon t:le <br />U::'lC:::'oi'~ 2''Jr 3 -'11C',ins t~'~e s~'stem. This i~ lJ.."r1,~t 0:1C <br />;!oclC: ?=:- ect ~rom potential' 1'lOH ~olu,tions of' ~ jet <br />J.:T--:'=ct:_::.~, 2 -3~nct z i'lct DInte. J.n t:."!e !:lo'.mt~2n.s, <br />t":o :;::lui::o;~ i~ n'J-:: cs 3imnle. Con~11e~ r.1QtL."1td.:j. t:r-'- <br />o:'l'aphy l;[;l:cs,'f~ cencrol soiution e::trcJ:lcl:'i dLCf'icl:lt, <br />solvable onl~ yor 0 Given reeion. In t~in s~C:J, I <br />,!:'.ll c.s"t!;'lC for c rirnt a"Onro;:ina.tion that the a,real <br />('15.~t:aib1.:..tion iG the z~~e as the updraft, rea~i::::!.n:; <br />t~_lCt t!'!i~ i~ a conzo!'votive estimate. <br />'l':-:.c a"",roach I u3ed 1-1::lS to estimate fror.J pub- <br />15,::;;!e:: volues the critical uPOrsi't erea necess:J.!':" to <br />~,ro::es', c::OU;:-':l cir, ct 0 [;i ven efficiency, to pro:luce <br />a volu:'l0 of' ~:::lter ob:oerveci. over a v::-,I'iable 3ize <br />